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New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Odds & Free Predictions

By Geekbrandmedia
Date: 06/06/2022 9:40 pm
Location: Petco Park
TV: Bally Sports

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Mets +103 / Padres -113
Total: 7.5un -115

The San Diego Padres host the New York Mets on Monday, June 6th at Petco Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Diego as the favorite (-113), with an OU line set at 7.5un -115.

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Carlos Carrasco (6-1, 3.47)
San Diego: Blake Snell (0-2, 4.8)

Mets Projected Lineup

J.D. Davis 3B
Luis Guillorme 2B
Eduardo Escobar 3B
Starling Marte RF
Mark Canha LF
Tomás Nido C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Carlos Carrasco P

Padres Projected Lineup

Ha-seong Kim SS
Austin Nola C
Jake Cronenworth 1B
Nomar Mazara RF
Manny Machado 3B
Trent Grisham CF
Eric Hosmer 1B
Luke Voit 1B
Jurickson Profar LF
Blake Snell P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Mets: 37-19-0 SU / OU 28-24-4 / Run Line W/L 34-22-0
San Diego Padres: 33-21-0 SU / OU 23-29-2 / Run Line W/L 30-24-0

Recent Form

In the New York Mets’ last game, they picked up a 5-4 win over the Dodgers. The Dodgers came up with 9 hits leading to 9 runs against New York’s pitchers. The Mets benefited from an offense that generated 5 runs on 8 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 160.0 on the moneyline. When looking at the over-under result, the Mets and Dodgers matched the line set at 9.0 runs. However, for the season, New York still has an overall over-under record of 28-24-4.

The Mets are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +4. New York comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 4.0 over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 5.11. So far, New York has won over half of their 17 series played, going 13-2-2.

San Diego is coming off a 2 run win over the Brewers (6-4). In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Brewers to 4 runs and 8 hits. Offensively, they finished with 6 runs on 9 hits. This was a good win for the Padres, as they were underdogs at 110.0 on the moneyline. In their 20 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 55.01%. The Padres and Brewers went over the run total line set at 7.5 runs. Against the run total, San Diego is just 23-29-2.

In their last 5 games, the Padres have put together a record of 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +9 (last 5). San Diego has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.6 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.22. On the season, San Diego has won more than half of their series, going 10-5-2.

Pitching Matchup

New York will roll with Carlos Carrasco (6-1) as their starter. To date, Carrasco has an ERA of 3.47 while lasting an average of 5.7 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.25. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Carrasco, as he is allowing just 0.47 per 9 innings. Overall, he is averaging 5.1 strikeouts per game, on a K rate of 21.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.05 walks per contest.

Blake Snell gets the start for the Padres, with an overall record of 0-2. So far, Snell has put together an ERA of 4.8. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.0 innings. Through 3 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.157. Home runs have been a concern for Snell as he is allowing 1.2 per 9 innings. Up to this point, Snell has a strikeout percentage of just 30.0% and a per game average of 6.0. Throughout the season, Snell has avoided walking batters, allowing just 4.8 per contest.

New York vs San Diego History

Today’s game between the New York Mets and San Diego Padres is their matchup of the year. Last season, New York picked up the series win, winning 4 games compared to 3 for San Diego. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 3-4, with the average scoring differential sitting at 2.71 runs. Between the games, the average run total was 5.86 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego
  • NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 6 games at home
  • San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Mets vs Padres Prediction 6/6/22

Heading into Monday’s National League matchup between New York and San Diego, I recommend taking the Mets to pick up the win. So far, the Padres have yet to win in any of Blake Snell’s 3 outings. In addition, he will be facing a New York offense ranked 2nd in wOBA vs right-handed pitching. On the other side, the Padres have the 26th rated wOBA vs right-handers.

Free Pick: Take the NY Mets +105
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