minnesota-twins-adalberto-mejia-600_0

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners Odds – Free Pick

By The Green Man
Date: 07/06/2017 10:10 pm
Location: Safeco Field
TV: Root

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Mariners -122 / Twins +112
Total: 9.5

The 29-25 Minnesota Twins and the 29-30 Seattle Mariners will go at it again in the 2nd game of a three-game set at Safeco Field in Seattle, Washington tonight. The first pitch is scheduled to be tossed at 10:10 PM ET.

The MLB betting board shows the Mariners as a -122 favorite on the moneyline with the Twins listed as +112 dogs. Th O/U line is offered up at most sports books at 9.5 runs.

In Game 1 of this series the Mariners beat the Twins 12-3. In the game, the Mariners scored 12 runs on 12 hits and the Twins scored three runs on 11 hits. Seattle scored five runs in the first three innings and then scored seven in the 4th inning.

This season the Twins rank 21st in the Majors in runs scored and 23rd in team ERA.

The Mariners rank tied for 12t in the Majors in runs scored and 22nd in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Minnesota: Adalberto Mejia (1-1, 3.95 ERA)
Seattle: Yovani Gallardo (2-6, 6.24 ERA)

Adalberto Mejia goes for the Twins in the 2nd game of this series and he had a solid last start going six innings and only giving up one run in a 4-2 win over the L.A. Angels. The Twins have won his last three starts where he has given up six earned runs in 18 innings. Mejia is a rookie and in three of his five starts this season he has given up two or fewer runs and in 27 innings of work he has struck out 24. This will be his first career start against the Mariners. After not lasting past the 2nd inning in his first road start of the season, which was his first start of the season overall, his next road start was his last one taking a no decision in the win over the Angels.

Yovani Gallardo gets the nod for the Mariners tonight and he was lit up in his last start giving up five earned runs in only three innings in a 6-3 loss to the Colorado Rockies. To say he has struggled lately would be an understatement, as the Mariners have lost his last three starts where he has given up 17 earned runs in only 11 innings. Gallardo has ERA of over 12 in his last three starts and in his last four starts he has given up six HR. In nine career starts against the Twins Gallardo is 3-2 with an ERA of 3.02. Seattle has lost eight of his last 11 starts overall and five of his last six home starts.

Betting Angles

The Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Mariners in Seattle.

In the last 7 games between these teams the Over record is 5-2.

In the last 4 games between these teams in Seattle the total has gone Over every time.

This season the Mariners are 18-10 at home and the Twins are 17-7 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Minnesota Twins: 29-25 SU / O/U 25-24 / Run Line W/L 28-26
Seattle Mariners: 29-30 SU / O/U 29-28 / Run Line W/L 29-30

Minnesota at Seattle Key Betting Trends

  • MINN is 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a right-handed starter
  • MINN is 19-7 in their last 26 road games
  • MINN has an Over record of 6-2-1 in their last 9 games
  • SEA is 4-0 in their last 4 overall
  • SEA is 4-0 in their last 4 home games
  • SEA has an Over record of 3-1-1 in their last 5 games

Key Player Injuries

TWINS
[P] 05/21/2017 – Phil Hughes 10-day DL (05/22) ( Bicep )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Justin Haley 10-day DL (05/28) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Ryan O’Rourke 60-day DL (03/30) ( Forearm )
[P] 03/11/2017 – Trevor May 60-day DL (03/22) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/31/2017 – Glen Perkins 60-day DL (04/02) ( Shoulder )

MARINERS
[P] 04/03/2017 – Shae Simmons 60-day DL (03/31) ( Forearm )
[SS] 04/03/2017 – Shawn O’Malley 60-day DL (03/31) ( Shoulder )
[P] 04/01/2017 – Drew Smyly 60-day DL (03/31) ( Arm )
[P] 06/01/2017 – Evan Marshall 60-day DL (05/06) ( Hamstring )
[SS] 06/02/2017 – Jean Segura 10-day DL (06/02) ( Ankle )
[P] 04/26/2017 – Felix Hernandez 10-day DL (04/26) ( Shoulder )
[LF] 04/26/2017 – Mitch Haniger 10-day DL (04/26) ( Oblique )
[P] 04/30/2017 – Evan Scribner 60-day DL (04/26) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/10/2017 – Hisashi Iwakuma 10-day DL (05/07) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/14/2017 – Ryan Weber 60-day DL (05/14) ( Bicep )

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

The Twins and Mariners have the exact same amount of wins and while Minnesota is in first place in the AL Central Seattle is in 3rd place in the AL West 13 games out of first place. The Twins have lost two of their last three games, where they have given up 19 runs in the two losses and they are in first place in their division even though they do not rank in the top 20 in the Majors in runs scored or team ERA. The Mariners have won four in a row where they have been stellar at the plate and on the hill outscoring their opponents 40-10. Mejia has been pretty solid in his last few starts, but can he tame the Seattle bats, which are on fire? They may need to stay on fire with how Gallardo is pitching getting absolutely hammered in his last three starts. He may not have a great start, but will not get shelled and the Mariners’ lineup will continue to get it done at the dish, which means Seattle will take this game and go for the series sweep tomorrow.

Free Pick: Take the Mariners -122
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