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Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Pick – Odds and Betting Preview

By The Green Man

MLB Betting Line

This game opened with even odds with both teams at -105 and a total of 8.5 runs and those lines have not changed. In the run-line bet, the Brewers are the big-time betting favorite getting 1.5 runs at -220 with the Cardinals -1.5 runs +180.

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San Diego at San Francisco MLB Game Set-up

Milwaukee at St. Louis MLB Game Set-up

In the 2nd game of this series yesterday the Brewers won their 3rd in a row with a 12-4 win over the Cardinals. The Brewers racked up 12 runs on 15 hits, and the Cardinals scored four runs on eight hits.

The Brewers have won three in a row and five of their last six games. They are only ½ games back of the Chicago Cubs for first place in the NL Central, and they hold the top spot in the NL Wild Card 3.5 games up on the Colorado Rockies. Milwaukee goes for the sweep in this series today winning the first two games of this series by a combined score of 18-8.

The Cardinals had won three in a row before dropping the first two games of this series. They are 4.5 games out of first place in the NL Central and only ½ game back of the Rockies for the 2nd NL Wild Card slot. After this game, the Cardinals end their regular season on the road facing the Cubs in a three-game series.

This season the Brewers rank 13th in runs scored and 10th in team ERA and the Cardinals rank 7th in runs scored and 12th in team ERA.

Head-To-Head

These teams have split the 18 games facing each other this season. Milwaukee has won 10 of their last 14 games facing the Cardinals in St. Louis.

Pitching Match-Up

Milwaukee: Jhoulys Chacin (14-8 3.61 ERA)
St., Louis: John Gant (7-6 3.53 ERA)

In Chacin’s last start he gave up three earned runs on four hits in four innings in an 8-3 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Brewers had lost his previous three starts where he gave up six earned runs in 14 2/3 innings and was only backed with six runs of support. The Brewers have won two of Chacin’s four starts against the Cardinals this season, and in his last outing facing them he pitched six scoreless innings, but in his previous start against them, he was lit up for eight earned runs in four 1/3 innings.

Chacin is 0-3 this month, but he has not given up more than three earned runs in any of his last nine starts. The Brewers have won four of Chacin’s last five road starts.

In Gant’s last start he had his shortest outing of the season going only two 2/3 innings giving up one earned run on four hits in a 5-3 win over the San Francisco Giants. The Cardinals have won three of his last four starts wherein the three wins he gave up three earned runs while in the one loss he gave up six earned runs. The Cardinals have lost both of Gant’s appearances, including one start, against the Brewers this season where he has totaled six 1/3 innings and gave up two earned runs.

In Gant’s last six starts he has had control issues with 21 walks in 30 2/3 innings of work. The Cardinals have won four of Gant’s previous five starts, but they have lost five of his last six starts facing a team with a winning record.

Milwaukee at St. Louis MLB Betting Angles

The Brewers are 10-4 in their last 14 road games against the Cardinals.

In the first two games of this series, the total has gone Over.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Milwaukee Brewers: 91-67 SU / O/U 76-79 / Run Line W/L 86-72
St. Louis Cardinals: 87-71 SU / O/U 75-76 / Run Line W/L 77-81

Brewers at Cardinals MLB Key Betting Trends

  • MIL is 5-1 in their last 6 road games
  • MIL is 5-1 in their last 6 games
  • MIL has an Under record of 9-5 in their last 14 games
  • STL is 6-3 in their last 9 games
  • STL is 1-5 in their last 6 home games against a team with a winning record
  • STL has an Over record of 8-0 in their last 8 games

Key Player Injuries

BREWERS

[P] 07/26/2018 – Brent Suter 60-day DL (7/23) ( Forearm )
[P] 03/26/2018 – Jimmy Nelson 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )
[C] 06/01/2018 – Stephen Vogt is out for season ( Shoulder )

CARDINALS

[P] 08/22/2018 – Matt Pearce 10-day DL (08/22) ( Shoulder )
[CF] 08/04/2018 – Dexter Fowler 60-day DL (08/04) ( Foot )
[P] 07/31/2018 – Luke Gregerson 60-day DL (07/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/20/2018 – Matt Bowman 10-day DL (06/20) ( Blister )
[P] 06/20/2018 – Michael Wacha 60-day DL (06/20) ( Oblique )
[P] 06/30/2018 – Alex Reyes 60-day DL (06/30) ( Side )

Get more details: Milwaukee at St. Louis MLB Match-Up

Milwaukee at St. Louis Prediction 09/26/2018

The Brewers are surging at the right time as they look for a series sweep in this game. Chacin is winless in four starts this month, and while he has not allowed more than three earned runs in his four starts in September, he also has not lasted past the 5th inning in any of those outings. That said, he got a win in his last outing facing the Cardinals, opposing Gant, which was his first win against them in 10 career starts. Gant has had significant control issues and St. Louis could use a good start from him going deep in the game, as their bullpen has struggled in this series. Look for Chacin to have a good outing and the Brewers to have a solid night at the dish. Add that up, and you get a Brewers win to complete the series sweep.

Free Pick: Take the Brewers -105
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