On the Saturday baseball card, it’s the 59-61 Miami Marlins versus the 53-67 New York Mets in the 2nd game of a three-game set at Citi Field New York, in New York tonight. The first pitch at Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET.
The MLB betting board for this match lists the Mets as a small -115 money line favorite over the Marlins. The total line for this game is posted at most sportsbooks at 9.5 runs.
In Game 1 of this series the Marlins beat the Mets 3-1. In the game the Marlins scored three runs on five hits and the Mets scored one run on seven hits.
This season the Marlins rank 17th in the Majors in runs scored and 19th in team ERA.
The Mets rank 18th in the Majors in runs scored and 27th in team ERA.
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Pitching Match Up
Miami: Vance Worley (2-2, 4.97 ERA)
New York: Rafael Montero (1-8, 5.80 ERA)
Vance Worley gets the nod for the Marlins and he went only four innings in his last start giving up three earned runs in a 5-3 win over the Colorado Rockies. The Marlins have won his last four starts since coming from the bullpen and in that span he has lasted 21 innings and given up seven earned runs. Worley faced the Mets in relief earlier this season tossing two scoreless innings and in four career outings, including three starts, against them in New York he has an ERA of 8.36. Overall, the Marlins have won his last six starts.
Rafael Montero goes for the Mets tonight and in his last outing he gave up two earned runs in six innings in a 4-2 loss to the New York Yankees. The Mets have lost his last three starts where he has given up 10 earned runs in 14 innings of work. Montero has been used as a starter and reliever this season and in his first start of the season on May 5th he faced the Marlins and was rocked for five earned runs in only three innings, but the lineup bailed him out in an 8-7 New York win. In Montero has given up eight HR in his last five starts and in 21 career innings facing Miami he has given up 26 hits. The Mets are 0-5 in Montero’s last five home starts and are 1-5 in his last five starts against a team with a losing record.
Betting Angles
This season the Marlins are 8-6 against the Mets.
In the last 8 games between these teams the Over record is 5-2-1.
In the last 5 games between these teams in New York the Under record is 3-0-2.
This season the Mets are 25-31 at home and the Marlins are 25-32 on the road.
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records
Miami Marlins: 59-61 SU / O/U 61-52 / Run Line W/L 67-53
New York Mets: 53-67 SU / O/U 67-42 / Run Line W/L 50-70
Miami at New York Key Betting Trends
- MIA is 6-1 in their last 7 overall
- MIA is 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter
- MIA has an Under record of 5-2-1 in their last 8 road games
- NYM is 0-5 in their last 5 overall
- NYM is 0-4 in their last 4 home games
- NYM has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 home games
Key Player Injuries
MARLINS
[P] 08/16/2017 – Jarl?n Garcia 10-day DL (08/12) ( Bicep )
[SS] 07/25/2017 – J.T. Riddle 10-day DL (07/25) ( Shoulder )
[3B] 07/18/2017 – Martin Prado 10-day DL (07/18) ( Knee )
[P] 07/29/2017 – Nick Wittgren 10-day DL (07/27) ( Elbow )
[1B] 08/07/2017 – Justin Bour 10-day DL (07/25) ( Oblique )
[P] 08/09/2017 – Chris O’Grady 10-day DL (08/08) ( Oblique )
[P] 08/04/2017 – Edinson Volquez 10-day DL (07/06) ( Knee )
[P] 05/06/2017 – Wei-Yin Chen 10-day DL (05/02) ( Arm )
METS
[P] 05/12/2017 – Jeurys Familia 60-day DL (05/11) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/01/2017 – Noah Syndergaard 60-day DL (05/01) ( Side )
[3B] 03/31/2017 – David Wright 60-day DL (03/30) ( Neck )
[P] 06/15/2017 – Matt Harvey 10-day DL (06/15) ( Arm )
[P] 06/23/2017 – Tommy Milone 60-day DL (05/22) ( Knee )
[P] 07/24/2017 – Zack Wheeler 10-day DL (07/23) ( Arm )
[SS] 07/28/2017 – T.J. Rivera 10-day DL (07/28) ( Elbow )
[SS] 08/17/2017 – Jose Reyes 10-day DL (08/17) ( Hip )
[P] 08/15/2017 – Seth Lugo 10-day DL (08/12) ( Shoulder )
