cincinnati-reds-brandon-finnegan-600

Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds – Free Picks

By The Green Man
Date: 15/08/2016 7:10 pm
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV:

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Marlins -123 / Reds +113
Total: 8.5ov -115

On Monday the MLB betting card brings us the the 61-56 Miami Marlins versus the 48-68 Cincinnati Reds in the opener of a four game set in Cincinnati, Ohio. The first pitch for this match is scheduled to be tossed at 7:10 PM ET on this August 15, 2016.

In their last games the Marlins beat the Chicago White Sox 5-4 out-hitting the Sox 11 to 9 getting the winning run in the top of the 9th. The Reds lost to the Milwaukee Brewers 7-3 falling behind in the first by three and never challenging as the Brewers made the best of their eight hits in the easy win.

The Marlins snapped their three-game losing streak in their last game and they now sit in 2nd place in the NL East 8.5 games back of the Washington Nationals. Miami ranks a solid 10th in team ERA, but only 21st in runs scored.

The Reds had won two straight before a loss in their last game and they remain in the basement of the NL Central 25 games back of the Chicago Cubs. Cincinnati ranks only 20th in the Majors in runs scored and dead last in team ERA.

Pitching Match Up

Miami: David Phelps (5-6, 2.40 ERA) Cincinnati: Brandon Finnegan (7-8, 4.45 ERA)

David Phelps goes the Marlins tonight and in his last outing he gave up one earned run in five innings of work in a 1-0 loss to the San Francisco Giants. The Marlins had won his previous three appearances. Phelps made just the 2nd start of the season in his last one and he has pitched well out of the bullpen as of late only giving up one earned run in his last six appearances. The Marlins are 2-6 in Phelps’ last 8 road starts.

Brandon Finnegan gets the start for the Reds and in his last outing he gave up three earned runs in six innings in a 7-4 win over the St. Louis Cardinals. The Reds have won his last three starts. Finnegan had not given up an earned run in his previous two starts before his last one. The Reds are 3-7 in Finnegan’s last 10 home starts, but they have won five of their last six home games with him on the hill.

Betting Angles

  • The Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the Reds.
  • The Reds are 22-9 in their last 31 games against the Marlins.
  • In the last 10 games between these teams the Under record is 7-3.
  • In the last 6 games between these teams in Cincinnati the total has gone Under 5 times.
  • This season the Reds are 26-29 at home and the Marlins are 30-28 on the road.

STRAIGHT UP / OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Miami Marlins: 61-56 SU / O/U 61-54 / Run Line W/L 59-58 Cincinnati Reds: 48-68 SU / O/U 62-44 / Run Line W/L 62-54

Miami at Cincinnati Key Betting Trends

  • MIA is 20-8 in their last 28 games vs. a left-handed starter.
  • MIA is 4-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • MA has an 20-9 in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • CINCY is Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
  • CINCY is 10-1 in their last 11 games following a loss.
  • CINCY has an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 games.

Key Player Injuries

MARLINS 08/14/16 Adam Conley SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 29 08/14/16 Giancarlo Stanton RF Groin Out for the season 08/12/16 Justin Bour 1B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 08/09/16 A.J. Ramos RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Aug 24 08/02/16 Stone Garrett CF Hand Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 07/31/16 Wei-Yin Chen SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 05/31/16 Bryan Morris RP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 04/07/16 Tyler Kolek SP Elbow Out for the season

REDS 08/14/16 Brandon Phillips 2B Knee Probable for Aug 15 08/13/16 Dilson Herrera 2B Undisclosed Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 08/11/16 Nate Adcock RP Elbow Out for the season 08/11/16 Yorman Rodriguez CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 16 08/07/16 Nick Travieso RP Ankle Expected to be out until at least Aug 31 08/02/16 A.J. Morris RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 1 08/01/16 Alfredo Simon SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 15 07/31/16 Caleb Cotham RP Knee Out for the season 07/19/16 Jon Moscot SP Elbow Out for the season 07/18/16 Devin Mesoraco C Shoulder Out for the season

Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Miami has owned this series as of late taking all three earlier this season at home and the last two in 2015 for a five game series win streak. They may be in tough tonight against the Reds with lefty Brandon Finnegan on the mound. The marlins hit left-handed pitching well but Finnegan has had great stuff in recent outings allowing just three runs in his last three starts covering 18 innings. Miami starter David Phelps hasn’t recorded a quality start in his last five pitching five or less innings in each one. I’ll take a shot on the home team who is profitable 7-3 in their last ten at the Great American Ball Park.

Free Pick: Take the Cincinnati Reds +113 GM
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