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Miami Marlins at New York Mets Odds – Free MLB Prediction

By The Green Man

It’s the 67-65 Miami Marlins versus the 68-64 New York Mets in the 3rd game of a four game set in New York, New York tonight. The first pitch at Citi Field is scheduled for 7:10 PM ET.

In the 2nd game of this series yesterday the Mets beat the Marlins 7-4. New York banged out 13 hits in the game and Curtis Ganderson came off the bench and hit two HR’s.

The Marlins have lost four in a row and they have fallen into 3rd place in the NL East 10 games back of the Washington Nationals and they are 3.5 games out of the Wild Card. In their four-game skid the Marlins have only totaled six runs. Miami ranks a solid 8th in the Majors in team ERA, but only 23rd in runs scored.

The Mets have won five of their last six games, including taking the first two games of this series, and they are nine games back of the Nationals and 2.5 games out of the Wild Card. The Mets only rank 28th in runs scored, but 3rd in team ERA.

Pitching Match Up

Miami:  David Phelps (7-6, 2.52 ERA)

New York:  Bartolo Colon (12-7, 3.44 ERA)

David Phelps goes for the Marlins tonight and in his last outing he only lasted three innings giving up three earned runs in a 7-6 win over the San Diego Padres. Miami has won his last three starts and in that span he has gone 14 innings and has given up five earned runs. In his career Phelps is 1-4 with an ERA of 7.00 in 11 games, including five starts, against the Mets.

Bartolo Colon gets the call for the Mets and in his last outing he gave up four earned runs in seven innings in a 9-4 win over the Philadelphia Phillies. New York has won his last two starts. In Colon’s one start against the Marlins this season he went five innings and gave up one earned run in a 6-4 New York win. The Mets are 6-2 in Colon’s last eight home starts and they are 4-1 in their last five games facing the Marlins with him on the hill.

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Betting Angles
  • The Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Marlins.
  • The Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 home games against the Marlins.
  • In the last 7 games between these teams in New York the Under record is 5-2.
  • This season the Mets are 35-31 at home and the Marlins are 34-33 on the road.
Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Miami Marlins: 67-65 SU / O/U 67-63 / Run Line W/L 65-67

New York Mets: 68-64 SU / O/U 62-67 / Run Line W/L 60-72

Miami at New York Key Betting Trends
  • MIA is 0-4 in their last 4 overall.
  • MIA is 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • MIA has an Under record of 8-2 in their last 10 games.
  • NY is 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
  • NY is 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • NY has an Over record of 12-3 in their last 15 games.
Key Player Injuries

MARLINS

  • [P] 04/04/2016 – Raudel Lazo 15-day DL (3/25) ( Shoulder )
  • [P] 05/15/2016 – Kendry Flores 15-day DL (5/15) ( Shoulder )
  • [P] 07/01/2016 – Bryan Morris 60-day DL (5/25) ( Back )
  • [P] 07/25/2016 – Wei-Yin Chen 15-day DL (7/21) ( Elbow )
  • [RF] 08/14/2016 – Giancarlo Stanton 15-day DL (8/14) ( Groin )
  • [P] 08/14/2016 – Adam Conley 15-day DL (8/14) ( Finger )
  • [P] 08/27/2016 – Andrew Cashner “?” for next scheduled start ( Finger )
  • [2B] 08/23/2016 – Derek Dietrich 15-day DL (8/19) ( Knee )
  • [1B] 08/23/2016 – Justin Bour 60-day DL (7/3) ( Ankle )

METS

  • [P] 08/23/2016 – Jon Niese 15-day DL (8/24) ( Knee )
  • [P] 08/23/2016 – Steven Matz 15-day DL (8/15) ( Shoulder )
  • [RF] 08/27/2016 – Justin Ruggiano 15-day DL (8/27) ( Shoulder )
  • [2B] 08/30/2016 – Neil Walker “?” Wednesday vs. Miami Marlins ( Back )
  • [CF] 07/31/2016 – Juan Lagares 15-day DL (7/29) ( Thumb )
  • [3B] 06/03/2016 – David Wright 60-day DL (5/30), out for season ( Neck )
  • [P] 07/06/2016 – Matt Harvey 60-day DL (7/6), out for season ( Shoulder )
  • [P] 04/04/2016 – Zack Wheeler 60-day DL (3/25) ( Elbow )
  • [1B] 05/24/2016 – Lucas Duda 60-day DL (5/21) ( Back )

Miami Marlins at New York Mets Free Pick

The Marlins’ lineup has really been struggling as of late and they have only scored more than three runs in two of their last 10 games. On the other side of the coin the Mets have averaged six runs per game in winning eight of their last 10 games. They need their lineup to produce with a banged up starting rotation.

Miami’s Giancarlo Stanton, who leads the team in HR, and Justin Bour are out with groin injuries. The Mets’ lineup has been sparked by the return of Jose Reyes, Asdrubal Cabrera, and Yoenis Cespedes, who were all on the DL at the beginning of this month. With the struggling Miami lineup and with them only winning one of their last six games facing the Mets that equals a New York win tonight.

Free Pick: Take the Mets -115
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