arizona-diamondbacks-zack-greinke-2-600_0

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Pick

By Darin Zank
Date: 24/06/2019 9:40 pm
Location: Chase Field
TV: SPORTSNET LA

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Dodgers +135/Diamondbacks +125
Total: 8

The Dodgers ride a six-game winning streak into the opener of a three-game NL West series at Arizona Monday night. How are we playing this game for our free MLB pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Monday’s MLB betting odds opened Los Angeles at around -125 over Arizona, with an over/under of eight runs. Early betting action then bumped that line to about -135.

The Dodgers could also be found getting around +110 giving the run and a half on the MLB run line.

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Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Set-Up

Los Angeles just swept three games at home from Colorado over the weekend, winning all three games on walk-off home runs. Just before that the Dodgers took the last three games of a four-game series with San Francisco. So LA owns a six-game winning streak heading into Monday night.

Arizona, meanwhile, just lost two of three games at home to the Giants, avoiding the sweep by winning Sunday’s series finale 3-2 in 10 innings. Just before that the Diamondbacks got swept three games by Colorado, and just before that they split four games in Washington. So Arizona is just 2-7 over its last nine games.

At 54-25 overall the Dodgers lead the NL West by 13 games over the second-place Rockies and by 15 games over the 39-40 Diamondbacks.

Los Angeles also leads Atlanta by 7.5 games for the best record in the National League.

Arizona also trails Colorado and St. Louis by only two games in the battle for the second National League wild-card spot.

LA leads the season series with the D’Backs five games to two.

Monday’s Starting Arms

Greinke, by our strict standards, is 12/16 on quality starts this season and two for his last three. Last Wednesday he got knocked around for five runs and 11 hits through seven innings of a 6-4 Arizona loss to the Rockies. But over his two starts previous to that he allowed zero runs and six hits through 13 1/3 innings.

The Diamondbacks are 10-6 with Greinke this season, 3-1 over his last four starts.

Over his last five starts against the Dodgers, four last year and a bad one back in March of this season, Greinke gave up 16 runs and 30 hits, including eight homers, through 39 1/3 innings. Arizona won three of those five games.

Lefty Kershaw is 8/12 on quality starts this year, and three for his last four. Last Tuesday he tossed seven innings of three-hit, shutout ball in a 9-0 Los Angeles win over San Francisco. And over his last four starts, he’s allowed just five earned runs and 22 hits through 27 innings.

Los Angeles is 11-1 with Kershaw this season.

In five starts last year against the Diamondbacks Kershaw allowed 10 runs and 22 hits, including eight homers, through 32 innings. The Dodgers won three of those five games.

Monday’s Batting Splits

Los Angeles is batting .267/.346/.480 against right-handed pitching this season.

Arizona is batting .290/.344/.523 against left-handed pitching this season, which ranks this unit among the top five in the Majors in this split.

The Bullpens

The Dodgers bullpen owns a 4.10 ERA this season and a 1.19 WHIP.

The Diamondbacks pen owns a 4.43 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP.

 

 

Totals Report

  • Overs are 38-37 in Dodgers games this season.
  • Overs are 40-36 in Diamondbacks games this season.
  • Unders are 18-15 in games played at Chase Field this season.
  • Overs are 4-3 in Dodgers-D’Backs games this season.

Dodgers at Diamondbacks Prediction 06/24/2019

Los Angeles is hot, baseball-wise, while Arizona is not. And it’s not often you can get Kershaw at such a low price. We’re going with the Dodgers here for our free MLB pick.

Free Pick: Take the Dodgers +135
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