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Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers Runline Pick 8/15/22

By Darin Zank
Date: 15/08/2022 8:10 pm
Location: American Family Field
TV: SNLA

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Dodgers -163/ Brewers +150
Runline: LAD -1.5 -102 / MIL +1.5 -118
Total: 7.5

The streaking Dodgers and slumping Brewers hook up for a four-game series in Milwaukee beginning Monday night. Lefty Julio Urias and his .97 WHIP takes his turn for the Blue Crew here against Freddy Peralta for the Brew Crew.
How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Monday’s baseball betting lines opened Los Angeles and Urias at around -165 over Milwaukee and Peralta, with an over/under of eight runs. Early betting action had the total dropping to 7.5 runs at some betting shops.
LA could also be found getting around +105, giving the run and a half on the run line.

Dodgers-Brewers MLB Betting Preview

Los Angeles just took two of three games at Kansas City over the weekend, missing out on the sweep and having its 12-game winning streak snapped by losing Sunday’s series finale 4-0. Going back a bit further, the Dodgers are 15-2 over their last 17 games.
At 79-34, Los Angeles leads the NL West by 16 games over second-place San Diego, and it’s five games up on the Mets in the battle for the best record in the National League.
Milwaukee, meanwhile, just dropped two of three games at St. Louis over the weekend, losing Sunday’s series rubber match 6-3. That game was tied at 2-2 when the Brewers bullpen gave up four runs on two home runs in the bottom of the eighth inning, and that was it.
Just before that, Milwaukee swept two games from Tampa Bay, but just before that, it lost two of three to Cincinnati. Going back a bit further, the Brewers are 1-3 over their last four series and 4-8 over their last 12 games.
At 61-52 overall, Milwaukee trails the first-place Cardinals by a game and a half in the NL Central race, and it’s a game and a half behind Philadelphia in the battle for the No. 3 spot in the NL wild-card standings.
This series is the first meeting between these teams this season.

Monday’s Pitching Match-Up

Peralta is making his third start since doing two-plus months on the DL with a sore shoulder. Twelve days ago, he gave up two runs and four hits in less than four innings of an 8-7 Milwaukee loss to Pittsburgh. Then last Tuesday, he held Tampa Bay to two runs and two hits through five innings of a 5-3 Brewers win.
Milwaukee is 6-4 with Peralta this season, although that’s probably a game better than they should be, based on his performances.
In his most recent start against the Dodgers, back in April of last season, Peralta allowed just one run through six innings of a 3-1 Brewers victory.
Lefty Urias is 13/22 on quality starts this year, working on a run of five in a row. Last Tuesday, he held Minnesota to one run and five hits through seven innings, with zero walks against eight strikeouts, in a 10-3 Los Angeles win. And over his last five starts, he’s allowed just four runs and 23 hits through 33 innings, with two walks against 31 whiffs.
LA is 14-8 with Urias this season, 10-0 his last ten times out!
Over his last two starts against Milwaukee last season, Urias allowed just two runs and five hits through 13 1/3 innings, with two walks and 17 K’s. The Dodgers won both those games and by significant margins.

Splits With the Sticks

Los Angeles is batting .264 against right-handed pitching this season, with an ML-best .340 team OBP and an ML-best .459 team slugging percentage.
Milwaukee is “slashing” .220/.309/.354 against left-handed pitching.

The Bullpens

The Milwaukee bullpen owns a 3.95 ERA this season, along with a 1.25 WHIP.
The LA pen owns a 3.16 ERA and an ML-best 1.09 WHIP.

MLB Betting Trends

  • The Dodgers are 39-19 on the road this season and 54-22 against right-handed starters.
  • The Brewers are 29-22 at home and 17-18 against left-handed starters.

Totals Report

  • The Under is 56-45 in Dodgers games this season.
  • The Over is 55-49 in Brewers games.
  • The Over is 26-21 at American Family Field this season.

Dodgers at Brewers Betting Prediction 8/15/22

We give Los Angeles our handicapping check-marks in the pitching match-up, the splits with the sticks, and the bullpen comparison. Also, the Dodgers are smokin’ hot while Milwaukee is struggling. So we love LA here. We also like gambling. So we’re chasing the better price playing the Dodgers against the run line.

Free Pick: Take the Dodgers on the Runline
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