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LA Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals Game 4 Pick

By The Green Man

This match is Game 4 of the NLDS with the Dodgers leading the series 2-1.

In Game 3 of this series, the Dodgers beat the Nationals 10-4. The Dodgers scored ten runs on 14 hits, and the Nationals scored four runs on six hits. LA exploded for seven runs in the 6th inning with all of them coming with two outs. The Dodgers’ Justin Turner hit a three-run HR in the 6th inning, and for the game was 3 for 6 with three RBI.

The Dodgers have won nine of their last ten games, and the Nationals have lost two of their previous three games after a nine-game winning streak.

This season the Dodgers rank 5th in runs scored and first in team ERA and the Nationals rank 6th in runs scored and 13th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match-Up

LA: Rich Hill (4-1 2.45 ERA) Washington: Max Scherzer (11-7 2.92 ERA)

After missing three months on the DL with a shoulder injury, Hill had three starts at the end of the season, but none of them were longer than three innings. In his last start, he tossed three scoreless innings and allowed one hit in a 9-0 win over the San Francisco Giants. In the three starts to end the season, he did not allow any earned runs and only allowed one hit while striking out 11 in five 2/3 innings. Hill faced the Nationals once this season on May 9 in LA. where he gave up three earned runs on five hits in five innings in a 6-0 Dodgers loss. In 12 career playoff appearances, including 11 starts, Hill is 1-2 with an ERA of 3.04. The Dodgers have won 20 of Hill’s last 28 road starts.

Max Scherzer was scheduled to be the Game 3 starter, but his start was pushed back to Game 4 after he pitched an inning of relief in Game 2. In Game 2 in the 4-2 Nationals win, he threw a perfect inning striking out the side, and his last start was in the Wild Card game he gave up three earned runs on four hits in five innings in a 4-3 win over the Milwaukee Brewers. The Nationals have won his last two starts even though he gave up seven earned runs, and in his previous three starts, he has given up 12 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings. Scherzer’s only start against the Dodgers this season was on May 11 in LA Where he gave up two earned runs in seven innings in a 5-2 Washington win. In 18 career playoff appearances, including 14 starts, Scherzer is 4-5 with an ERA of 3.78. Washington has won four of his last five home starts, but they have lost his last four home starts against the Dodgers.

Betting Angles

  • The Dodgers are 11-4 in their last 15 games against the Nationals.
  • The Dodgers are 6-1 in their last seven road games against the Nationals.
  • In the last six games between these teams in Washington, the Over record is 5-1.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

L.A. Dodgers: 108-57 SU / O/U 78-79 / Run Line W/L 82-83 Washington Nationals: 95-71 SU / O/U 76-79 / Run Line W/L 92-74

Key Betting Trends

  • LA is 8-0 in their last eight road games
  • LA is 5-1 in their previous six games after scoring at least five runs in their previous game
  • LA has an Over record of 6-2-1 in their past nine games
  • WASH is 5-0 in their last five games following a loss
  • WASH is 6-1 in their previous seven home games against a left-hand starter
  • WASH has an Over record of 4-1-1 in their last six games.

Team Info

The Dodgers are up 2-1 in this best of five series, and the Game 3 win was the first time they scored in double digits in runs in 10 games. Max Muncy hit a HR in the seven-run 6th inning in Game 3 and has two HR and five RBI in the series. MVP candidate Cody Bellinger was 2 for 5 in Game 3, which were his first two hits of the series.

The Nationals have lost three of four home games against the Dodgers this season. They have only totaled eight runs in the series, and in Game 3, Trea Turner was 0 for 3 snapping his 15-game hitting streak.

Washington’s MVP candidate in Anthony Rendon is 3 for 10 in the series with one RBI, and only one extra-base hit.

Key Injuries

DODGERS

The Dodgers come into this game with no significant injury concerns.

NATIONALS

RP Roenis Elias is out indefinitely, RP Koda Glover is out until early October, and Victor Robles is listed as day-to-day with a hamstring injury, and he did not play in Game 3.

Dodgers at Nationals Prediction 10/7/19

The Nationals have their backs against the wall down 2-1, but they have won their last five games following a loss. Scherzer was lights out in his one inning of relief in Game 2 but has given up 12 earned runs in his previous three starts lasting 17 2/3 innings. Hill will be making his first post-season start, and he has not gone past three innings in his last three starts since missing three months with an injury. He may have another short outing, and the Dodgers’ bullpen has been solid in the series giving up three earned runs in the three games. The LA bats will get to Scherzer for q few runs while Hill and the Dodgers’ bullpen will have a great outing. LA will get the win in a low scoring game and close out the series advancing to the NLCS.

Free Pick: Take the Dodgers +115
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