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LA Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals Game 3 Pick

By The Green Man

This match is Game 3 of the NLDS, with the series tied at 1-1.

The Nationals beat the Dodgers in Game 2 4-2 to 3, even the series. The Nationals scored four runs on ten hits, and the Dodgers scored two runs on five hits. The 1-3 batters for Washington all had two-hit, and starter Stephen Strasburg gave up one run on three hits and struck out 10 Dodgers.

The Dodgers had their eight-game winning streak snapped with the Game 2 loss, and the Nats only loss in their last ten games was in Game 1 of this series.

This season the Dodgers rank 5th in runs scored and first in team ERA and the Nationals rank 6th in runs scored and 13th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match-Up

LA: Hyun-Jin Ryu (14-5 2.32 ERA) Washington: Max Scherzer (11-7 2.92 ERA)

The Dodgers have won two of Ryu’s last three starts, and his last one was a gem tossing seven scoreless innings and only gave up five hits in a 2-0 win over the San Francisco Giants. He has given up three earned runs in his last two starts, and in the one previous to that, he was excellent not giving up any earned runs in seven innings and only allowing two hits but got no help in a 3-0 LA loss. The Dodgers have won both of his starts against the Nationals this season, where he only gave up one earned run in 14 2/3 innings. Perhaps Ryu’s best start of the season was at home on May 12, where he went eight scoreless innings and only allowed one hit in a 6-0 LA win. In seven career playoff appearances, Ryu is 2-2 with an ERA of 4.11. The Dodgers have lost his last four starts facing a team with a winning record.

Max Scherzer is scheduled to get the start in this game even though he pitched an inning of relief in the Game 2 win. He should get the start in this game, but it has not been decided yet, and if he does not go, Anibal Sanchez will get the nod. It was a great inning of relief in Game 2 with Scherzer striking out the side, and his last start was in the Wild Card game where he gave up three earned runs on four hits in five innings in a 4-3 win over the Milwaukee Brewers. The Nats have won his last two starts even though he gave up seven earned runs, and in his previous three starts, he has given up 12 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings. Scherzer lone start against the Dodgers this season was on May 11 in Los Angeles, where he gave up two earned runs in seven innings in a 5-2 Washington win. In 18 career playoff appearances, including 14 starts, Scherzer is 4-5 with an ERA of 3.78. The Nationals have won four of his last five home starts, but they have lost his last four home starts against the Dodgers.

Betting Angles

  • The Dodgers are 10-4 in their last 14 games against the Nationals.
  • The Dodgers are 5-1 in their last six road games against the Nationals.
  • In the last nine games between these teams, the Under record is 6-2-1.
  • In the last five games between these teams in Washington, the Over record is 4-1.

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Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

L.A. Dodgers: 107-57 SU / O/U 77-79 / Run Line W/L 81-83 Washington Nationals: 95-70 SU / O/U 75-79 / Run Line W/L 92-73

Key Betting Trends

  • LA is 7-0 in their last seven road games
  • LA is 8-1 in their previous nine games
  • LA has an Over record of 5-2-1 in their past eight games
  • WASH is 9-1 in their last ten games
  • WASH is 19-7 in their previous 26 games against a left-hand starter
  • WASH has an Under record of 6-0-1 in their past seven games against a left-hand starter

Team Info

The Dodgers had their eight-game win streak snapped with their 4-2 loss in Game 2 of this series, and in their previous three games, they did not allow any runs. LA MVP candidate Cody Bellinger is hitless in this series (0 for 6), and he has four strikeouts. Max Muncy is 3 for 6 in the series with a HR and four RBI.

In the Nationals last four games, they have only given up more than three runs once, and that was in the Game 1 loss. They split the four-game series with the Dodgers in LA in the first half and lost two of three games against them in the 2nd half at home.

Trea Turner leads the Nationals in the post-season batting .308 and has a HR and two RBI and two doubles.

Key Injuries

DODGERS

The Dodgers come into this game with no significant injury concerns.

NATIONALS

RP Roenis Elias is out indefinitely, RP Koda Glover is out until early October, and Victor Robles is listed as questionable.

Dodgers at Nationals Prediction 10/6/19

Scherzer is scheduled to get the start in this game, and while he had a perfect inning of relief in Game 2, his last three starts have not been overly impressive. On the other side of the coin, Ryu has not allowed any earned runs in two of his previous three starts, including his last one. The pitching has been solid in the series, as in the two games, only 12 runs have been scored. The Nationals have lost their last four home games when Scherzer has gotten the start and look for that trend to continue. He will not get lit up but give up a few runs while Ryu will have another great start. In another low scoring game in this series, the Dodgers will win in the Nation’s Capital and take a 2-1 series lead.

Free Pick: Take the Dodgers +145
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