The Phillies continue their quest for their first playoff appearance in 10 years when they host the Dodgers for the middle game of a three-game set in Philly Wednesday night. Newcomer Kyle Gibson gets the call for the home team here against lefty David Price for the visitors. Who do we like here for today’s free MLB pick?
MLB Betting Odds
Wednesday’s baseball betting odds opened LA at around -125 over Philly, with an over/under of 9.5 runs. Early betting action then bumped the Dodgers to -135, and that total to 10. Los Angeles could also be found getting around +110, giving the run and a half on the run line.
Dodgers-Phillies MLB Betting Preview
Los Angeles took the opener of this series Tuesday night 5-0. That game was tied at 0-0 through four innings into a lengthy rain delay. Both teams then went to their bullpens, and the Dodgers scored five runs over the last five innings while Philadelphia scored none. LA won as a -140 betting favorite with Max Scherzer, and the game played under a total of 8.5 runs. With Tuesday’s win, Los Angeles is 6-2 over its last eight games. At 68-45 overall, the Dodgers trail division-leading San Francisco by four games in the NL West, but they also lead the National League wild-card race by three games over second-place San Diego. But LA also needs 35 more wins over its last 49 games to play over its season wins over/under, which was 102.5, the highest in Baseball. Meanwhile, Tuesday’s loss snapped an eight-game winning streak for the Phillies. At 59-54 overall, Philadelphia now leads the NL East by one game over second-place Atlanta. Philly only needs 22 more wins over its last 49 games to play over its wins O/U, which was 80.5. This series is the second meeting between these two teams this season; back in June, the Dodgers took two of three low-scoring games from the Phillies at Dodger Stadium.
Wednesday’s Pitching Match-Up
Gibson is an impressive 15/21 on quality starts this season and 2/2 since coming to Philadelphia in a trade with Texas two weeks ago. Last Friday, he held the Mets to one run and four hits through six innings of a 4-2 Phillies victory, and over his previous three starts, he’s allowed just six runs – five earned – and 13 hits through 18 2/3 innings, although he’s also walked 14 guys (!) over that span. The Rangers, who are 33 games under .500 on the season, played 10-9 with Gibson, and the Phillies are 2-0 with him. In his most recent start against the Dodgers, in August of last season, Gibson got touched for five runs and three home runs through five frames of a 7-2 Texas defeat. Lefty Price is 0/8 on quality starts this year, to go along with 21 appearances in relief, pitching on a short leash. Last Friday, he held the Angels to two runs and four hits through 5 1/3 innings of a 4-3 Dodgers loss. But over his last four appearances, he’s given up nine runs – eight earned – and four home runs through 16 1/3 innings. LA is only 2-6 with Price this year, although that mark should probably be a game or two better. Over two appearances earlier this season against Philadelphia, Price allowed no runs and two hits through 1 2/3 innings.
Splits With the Sticks
Los Angeles is batting .251 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .343 team OBP and a .429 team slugging percentage. But the Dodgers could be down two key sticks Wednesday, with both Justin Turner and Mookie Betts listed as questionable. Philadelphia is slashing .254/.333/.425 against left-handed pitching. But both Rhys Hoskins and Andrew McCutchen are also listed as questionable. Bettors might want to check the lineups before getting down on this game.
- Get more details: Dodgers vs. Phillies 8/11/21 Game Matchup Stats
The Bullpens
The Dodgers bullpen owns a 3.55 ERA this season, along with a 1.27 WHIP and a 2.49 K/BB ratio. The Phillies pen owns a 4.57 ERA, a 1.42 WHIP, and a 2.32 K/BB ratio.
MLB Betting Trends
- The Dodgers are 32-25 on the road this season.
- The Phillies are 34-22 at home.
- The Dodgers are 47-33 against right-handed starters this season.
- The Phillies are 17-19 against left-handed starters.
- The Dodgers are 27-28 as road favorites against the run line this season.
Totals Report
Totals are split 54-54 in Dodgers games this season. Overs are 58-54 in Phillies games. Unders are 28-26 in games played at Citizens Bank Park this season.
