chicago-white-sox-michael-kopech

LA Dodgers at Chicago White Sox Odds & Free Pick

By Darin Zank
Date: 07/06/2022 8:10 pm
Location: Guaranteed Rate Field
TV: TBS

Betting Odds



Moneyline: LAD -120/CWS +110
Total: 8.5ov -110

The NL West-leading Dodgers, coming off a losing home-stand, hit the road for a three-game series with the under-performing White Sox on the South Side beginning Tuesday night. Young righty Mitch White will make his eighth career ML start for Los Angeles here against fellow righty Michael Kopech, with 17 career starts, for Chicago.

How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Tuesday’s baseball betting lines opened Los Angeles and White at around -130 over Chicago and Kopech, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Both figures were holding steady in the early betting action.

The Dodgers could also be found getting around +125 giving the run and a half on the run line.

Dodgers-White Sox MLB Betting Preview

Los Angeles just split four games at home with the NL East-leading Mets, losing Sunday’s series finale 5-4 in 10 innings. The Dodgers then had Monday off.

Just before that LA got swept three games at home by Pittsburgh. So the Dodgers are 2-5 over their last seven games.

At 35-19 overall Los Angeles leads the NL West by 2.5 games over second-place San Diego.

Chicago, meanwhile, just took two of three games at Tampa Bay over the weekend, winning Sunday’s series rubber match 6-5. The White Sox then also had Monday off.

Just before that Chicago got swept three games at Toronto, and just before that it split two games at home with the Cubs. So the White Sox are 3-6 over their last nine games.

At 25-27 overall Chicago is tied for fifth place in the AL wild-card race, only a game and a half behind third-place Boston.

This series is the first meeting between these two teams since 2017.

Tuesday’s Pitching Match-Up

Kopech is 2/9 on quality starts this season. Last Wednesday he got clipped for five runs on six hits, including two home runs, and four walks through just three innings of a 7-3 Chicago loss to Toronto. But over his three starts previous to that he allowed just four runs – three earned – and five hits through 19 innings, and two of those starts came against the best team in Baseball at the moment, the Yankees.

The White Sox are 4-5 with Kopech this season but that’s at least a game or two worse than they should be, based on his performances.

This will be Kopech’s first-ever action against the Dodgers.

White is 0/3 on quality starts this year. Last Wednesday he gave up three runs on four hits and two walks through five innings of an 8-4 Los Angeles loss to Pittsburgh. And over his last three appearances he’s allowed six runs and nine hits through 11 1/3 innings, with five walks and 11 strikeouts.

The Dodgers are 2-1 when White starts this year, which is a game better than they should be.

This will be White’s first-ever action against the White Sox.

Splits With the Sticks

Los Angeles is batting .253 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .337 team OBP and a .438 team slugging percentage. Numbers like those lead us to rank this line-up among the top four in the Majors in this split. However, the Dodgers are operating without one big stick in IF
Max Muncy (36 HR last year), who’s sidelined with a sore elbow.

Chicago is slashing .231/.284/.338 against right-handed pitching. Numbers like those lead us to rank this line-up among the bottom half-dozen in Baseball in this split. The White Sox are also down a key stick with SS Tim Anderson (.358 this season) out with a sore groin.

The Bullpens

The LA bullpen owns a 3.32 ERA this season, along with a 1.12 WHIP and a ML-best 3.69 K/BB ratio. Numbers like those lead us to rank this unit among the top five bullpens in Baseball.

The ChiSox pen owns a 4.19 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP and a 2.28 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

  • The Dodgers are 18-9 on the road this season and 22-13 against right-handed starters.
  • The White Sox are 11-13 at home and 18-21 against RH starters.

Totals Report

  • The unders are 26-23 in Dodgers games this season.
  • The unders are 27-23 in White Sox games.
  • The unders are 13-10 at Guaranteed Rate Field this season.

Dodgers at White Sox Prediction 6/7/22

We give Kopech the edge in the pitching match-up but Los Angeles gets the check-marks in the splits with the sticks and in the bullpen comparison. Also, when a good team like the Dodgers experiences a 2-5 stretch we expect a reversal and bet accordingly. So we like LA Tuesday night, and in knowing the visitors will bat nine times we’ll chase the better price on the run line.  

Free Pick: Take the Dodgers -1.5
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