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Kansas City Royals vs. L.A. Angels Odds Analysis – Pick to Win

By Rich Crew
Date: 04/06/2018 10:07 pm
Location: Angel Stadium
TV: FSN

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Angels -179 / Royals +
Total: 8.5

The Royals lost to the Oakland A’s 5-1 to drop their three-game set 2-1 and finishing their six-game homestand at 3-3. They now hit the road where they’re 11-17 on the season, but a decent 4-3 over their last six, splitting four in Texas and taking a series 2-1 in St. Louis.

In their last game, the Angels beat the Texas Rangers 3-1 getting two runs in the second and coasting on a strong six innings from starter Tyler Skaggs. Los Angeles will try to improve on their 14-18 home record hosting Kansas City for three games.

This season the Royals rank 23rd in runs scored, and 30th in team ERA and the Angels rank tied for 7th in runs scored and 11th in team ERA.

Pitching Match-Up

Kansas City: Danny Duffy (2-6 5.71 ERA)
L.A.: Nick Tropeano (3-3 3.80 ERA)

In Duffy’s last start he was solid allowing one earned run on four hits over six innings in a 2-1 win over the Minnesota Twins. After losing two straight with him on the hill where he gave up 14 earned runs, the Royals have won his last two starts where he has totaled 13 innings and only given up two earned runs. In five career appearances, including four starts, against the Angels Duffy is 2-1 with an ERA of 3.46. Overall, the Royals have lost 10 of Duffy’s last 13 starts.

In Tropeano’s last start he gave up two earned runs on seven hits in five innings in a 9-2 laugher over the Detroit Tigers. After the Angels lost two of back to back of his starts, they have won his last two outings where he has gone 12 innings and given up three earned runs. In two career starts against the Royals, Tropeano is 1-0 throwing 12 innings and given up two runs. The Angels have lost four of his last five home starts against a team with a losing record.

Get more details: Royals vs. Angels MLB Match-Up

Betting Angles

The Angels are 4-1 in their last five games against the Royals.

In the last nine games between these teams in L.A., the Over record is 5-2-2.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Kansas City Royals: 21-38 SU / O/U 23-32 / Run Line W/L 25-34
L.A. Angels: 32-28 SU / O/U 26-31 / Run Line W/L 29-31

Key Betting Trends

  • KC is 8-21 in their last 29 games against a team with a winning record
  • KC is 7-16 in their previous 23 road games against a right-hand starter
  • KC has an Under record of 5-1-1 in their last seven road games
  • LA is 0-4 in their last four games following a win
  • LA is 1-5 in their previous six home games against a left-hand starter
  • LA has an Under record of 5-0 in their last five games

Royals vs. Angels Prediction 6/4/18

Both starters have been pitching well in recent games with the Royals Duffy recording back to back quality starts allowing just two runs over 13 2/3 innings pitched. He has good numbers at home against the Angels getting the QS in three straight games in Kansas City but did get blown up in LA for five runs over six innings, but that was back in 2014. Versus the current Angels lineup, he has the batters to a .247 earned run average over 111 plate appearances. Opposing him on the mound for LA is Nick Tropeana who have the best metrics at home this season 0-2 with a 5.31 ERA, but overall his recent outings have been solid holding the opposition to three or fewer runs in four of his last five.  While it’s a small sample size, his career numbers against the KC line-up are excellent allowing a .212 BA, .257 OBA and .242 SLG over 35 PAs. Neither team’s offense is giving the score-keeper a workout especially the Angels who have scored three or fewer runs in 16 of their last 22 games! 

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 8.5
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