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Kansas City Royals at San Diego Padres Odds – Free MLB Pick

By The Green Man

The 26-33 Kansas City Royals open a three-game set against the 23-38 San Diego Padres at Petco Park in San Diego, California tonight. The first pitch for the opener at Petco Park is scheduled for 10:10 PM ET.

The odds board shows the host Padres in the favorite role ranging from -110 to -118 at the books that we track. The O/U lines for this match is listed on mopst boards at 8 runs.

In their last game the Royals lost to the Houston Astros 6-1. In the game the Royals scored one run on only three hits and the Astros scored six runs on nine hits. Kansas City allowed the Astros to score five runs in the 9th inning in the loss.

In their last game the Padres lost to the Arizona Diamondbacks 15-3. In the game the Padres scored three runs on nine hits and the Diamondbacks scored 15 runs on 15 hits.

This season the Royals rank 29th in the Majors in runs scored and 20th in team ERA.

The Padres rank 30th in the Majors in runs scored and 28th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Kansas City: Eric Skoglund (1-1, 4.32 ERA)
San Diego: Jhoulys Chacin (4-5, 5.65 ERA)

Eric Skoglund goes for the Royals tonight and his last start was not a good one only going two innings and giving up four earned runs in a 8-0 loss to the Cleveland Indians. This will be only his 3rd career start and previous to his last outing he had a fantastic MLB debut out-dueling Justin Verlander and going six innings not giving up any runs in a 1-0 win over the Detroit Tigers. Both of Skoglund’s starts this season have been at home.

Jhoulys Chacin gets the call for the Padres and in his last start he went six innings and gave up three earned runs in a bad 10-1 loss to the Colorado Rockies. San Diego has lost his last three starts and after giving up seven earned runs not making it out of the first inning he has given up three earned runs in each of his last two starts. Chacin has pitched well at home on the season where is 2-1 with a stellar ERA of only 1.36. His one career start against the Royals was back in the 2014 season while he was pitching for the Colorado Rockies. The Padres are 0-4 in Chacins last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last outing and they have lost five of his last six games in Game 1 of a series.

Betting Angles

The Padres are 7-2 in their last 9 games against the Royals.

The Padres are 7-2 in their last 9 home games against the Royals.

In the last 12 games between these teams the Over record is 9-3.

This season the Padres are 13-16 at home and the Royals are 9-17 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Kansas City Royals: 26-33 SU / O/U 23-33 / Run Line W/L 27-32
San Diego Padres: 23-38 SU / O/U 31-27 / Run Line W/L 27-34

Kansas City at San Diego Key Betting Trends

  • KC is 6-16 in their last 22 road games vs. a right-handed starter
  • KC is 11-3 in their last 14 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record
  • KC has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games
  • SD is 5-2 in their last 7 home games
  • SD is 8-21 in their last 29 interleague games
  • SD has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games

Key Player Injuries

ROYALS
[P] 05/29/2017 – Danny Duffy 10-day DL (05/29) ( Oblique )
[RF] 06/02/2017 – Paulo Orlando 60-day DL (06/01) ( Undisclosed )
[C] 06/08/2017 – Salvador Perez “?” Friday vs. San Diego Padres ( Thumb )
[P] 05/24/2017 – Nathan Karns 10-day DL (05/21) ( Arm )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Brian Flynn 60-day DL (02/15) ( Back )

PADRES [CF] 04/25/2017 – Travis Jankowski 10-day DL (04/23) ( Foot ) [LF] 04/08/2017 – Alex Dickerson 60-day DL (03/30) ( Back ) [P] 04/01/2017 – Carter Capps 60-day DL (03/31) ( Elbow ) [P] 03/31/2017 – Colin Rea 60-day DL (02/18) ( Elbow ) [P] 03/31/2017 – Buddy Baumann 60-day DL (03/30) ( Shoulder ) [P] 03/31/2017 – Robbie Erlin 60-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow ) [C] 05/08/2017 – Hector Sanchez 10-day DL (05/06) ( Foot ) [P] 05/20/2017 – Jered Weaver 10-day DL (05/20) ( Hip ) [P] 05/17/2017 – Trevor Cahill 10-day DL (05/14) ( Shoulder ) [P] 06/06/2017 – Jarred Cosart 10-day DL (06/06) ( Side ) [CF] 05/28/2017 – Manuel Margot 10-day DL (05/25) ( Calf ) [P] 06/01/2017 – Christian Friedrich 60-day DL (03/30) ( Side )

Kansas City Royals vs. San Diego Padres Prediction

The Royals had a modest two-game win streak snapped in their last game and while they are in 4th place in the AL Central and seven games under .500 they are still only 5.5 games out of first place. The Padres have dropped five in a row where they have really struggled at the plate and especially on the mound. In their five-game skid they have given up at least 10 runs three times and they have given up 45 runs while only scoring 10. Still, even with the big-time struggles of San Diego lately they are still the pick in this interleague game. Chacin has been solid at home on the season and he facing a Royals lineup that ranks 2nd to last in the Majors in runs scored and did not get a hit until the 7th inning of their last game. Chacin will lead the way in this one while Skoglund has another tough outing and the Padres will take the first game of this series tonight.

Free Pick: Take the Padres -115
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