kansas-city-royals-jason-vargas-600_0

Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles Odds – Free Pick

By The Green Man
Date: 02/08/2017 7:05 pm
Location: Oriole Park at Camden
TV: MAS2

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Orioles -119 / Royals +110
Total: 10

On the Wednesday baseball card, it’s the 55-50 Kansas City Royals versus the 52-54 Baltimore Orioles in the final game of a three-game set at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland tonight. The first pitch at Oriole Park at Camden Yards is scheduled for 7:05 PM ET.

The host Orioles are a -119 moneyline favorite over the visiting Royals in the finale of the three-game series. The total line for this match is offered at 10 runs on most MLB boards.

In Game 2 of this series yesterday the Orioles beat the Royals 7-2. In the game the Royals scored seven runs on 15 hits and the Royals scored two runs on five hits.

This season the Royals rank tied for 22nd in the Majors in runs scored and 9th in team ERA.

The Orioles rank 16th in the Majors in runs scored and 29th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Kansas City: Jason Vargas (13-4, 3.00 ERA)
Baltimore: Jeremy Hellickson (0-0, 0.00 ERA)

Jason Vargas goes for the Royals tonight and in his last outing he had a good one giving up only one earned run in six innings in a 4-2 win over the Boston Red Sox. The Royals have won 10 of his last 11starts including his last two where he has given up three earned runs in 11 innings of work. This is Vargas’ first start of the season against the Orioles and in nine road starts this season he is 6-2 with an ERA of 3.35. Kansas City has won Vargas’ last five road starts and they are 20-6 in his last 26 starts overall.

Jeremy Hellickson gets the nod for the Orioles and this is his first start for them since coming over in a trade with the Philadelphia Phillies. He was not sharp in his last start giving up six earned runs in five innings in 9-8 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. The Phillies lost seven of Hellickson’s last eight starts with the club. In nine career appearances, including eight starts, at Baltimore while facing the Orioles he went 3-2 with an ERA of 5.01. In Hellickson’s only start against the AL this season he went five innings and gave up six earned runs in a 7-3 loss to the Boston Red Sox.

Betting Angles

The Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 starts against the Royals.

In the last 6 games between these teams the Under record is 5-1.

In the last 5 games between these teams in Baltimore the Under record is 4-1.

This season the Orioles are 32-21 at home and the Royals are 25-27 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Kansas City Royals: 55-50 SU / O/U 46-54 / Run Line W/L 56-49
Baltimore Orioles: 52-54 SU / O/U 55-48 / Run Line W/L 52-54

Kansas City at Baltimore Key Betting Trends

  • KC is 10-3 in their last 13 overall
  • KC is 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a losing record
  • KC has an Under record of 8-2 in their last 10 games
  • BAL is 4-0 in their last 4 overall
  • BAL is 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter
  • BAL has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 games

Key Player Injuries

ROYALS
[RF] 06/02/2017 – Paulo Orlando 60-day DL (06/01) ( Shin )
[P] 06/26/2017 – Nathan Karns 60-day DL (05/21) ( Forearm )

ORIOLES
[RF] 07/31/2017 – Mark Trumbo 10-day DL (07/31) ( Back )
[2B] 07/05/2017 – Ryan Flaherty 60-day DL (05/19) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/16/2017 – Mike Wright 10-day DL (06/15) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 06/19/2017 – J.J. Hardy 60-day DL (06/19) ( Wrist )
[CF] 05/28/2017 – Anthony Santander 60-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )

Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction

After winning nine in a row the Royals have lost three of their last four games and they have lost the first two games of this series. They have only totaled three runs in the first two games of this series. Kansas City is in 2nd place in the AL Central two games back of the Cleveland Indians and they have the 2nd AL Wild Card 1.5 games up on the Seattle Mariners and Tampa Bay Rays. The Orioles have run four in a row and while they rank 2nd to last in the Majors in team ERA they have only given up nine runs in their last four games and six came in one game. They are in 4th place in the AL East six games back of the Boston Red Sox and 3.5 games out of the Wild Card. Vargas was an All Star this season and while he will have a decent outing Hellickson will have a better one. He was not sharp in his last outing for the Phillies, but he will get a lift from switching to a team that is still in the playoff race. Vargas is a lefty and the Orioles have won their last five games facing a left-hand starter. That trend will continue, as Baltimore will win this game and complete the series sweep.

Free Pick: Take the Orioles -119
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