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Houston Astros at Texas Rangers Odds & Predictions

By Darin Zank
Date: 13/06/2022 8:05 pm
Location: Globe Life Field
TV: MLBN

Betting Odds



Moneyline: HOU -149/TEX +138
Total: 9un -115

The AL West-leading Astros and the second-place Rangers hook up for a three-game Lone Star State showdown series beginning Monday night in Arlington. Lefty Taylor Hearn and his 5.40 ERA hit the hill for the home team here against righty Christian Javier for Houston.

How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Monday’s baseball betting lines opened Houston and Javier at around -160 over Texas and Hearn, with an over/under of nine runs. Both figures were holding steady in the early betting action.

The Astros could also be found getting around +105 giving the run and a half on the run line.

Astros-Rangers MLB Betting Preview

Houston just lost two of three games at home to Miami over the weekend, avoiding the sweep with a 9-4 victory Sunday. Just before that the Astros lost two of three to Seattle. So Houston is only 2-4 over its last six games.

Texas, meanwhile, just took two of three games from the White Sox in Chicago, winning Sunday’s series rubber match 8-6 in 12 innings. Just before that, though, the Rangers lost two of three at Cleveland, and just before that they lost two of three to the Mariners. Going back a bit further the Rangers are 4-7 over their last 11 games.

At 37-23 overall the Astros lead the AL West by 8.5 games over 28-31 Texas.

The Rangers also trail Boston by three games in the battle for the third and final AL wild-card spot.

Houston leads the season series with Texas six games to two.

Monday’s Pitching Match-Up

Lefty Hearn is just 1/11 on quality starts this season and 0 for his last two. Last Tuesday he gave up three runs on four hits and two walks through 5 2/3 innings of a 6-3 Texas victory over Cleveland. And just before that he allowed three runs on six hits and four walks through four frames of a 3-1 Rangers loss to Tampa Bay.

Texas is 6-5 with Hearn this season but that record is probably a couple games better than it should be.

Over two starts already this season against Houston Hearn allowed eight runs and 11 hits through 9 2/3 innings. The Rangers lost both those games.

Javier is just 1/7 on quality starts this year. Last Monday he gave up five runs and six hits through 3 2/3 innings of a 7-4 Astros loss to Seattle. But over his three starts previous to that he allowed just two runs and 10 hits through 15 2/3 innings, with six walks against 19 strikeouts.

Houston is 4-3 with Javier this season and that’s probably a game worse than it should be.

Over two starts already this season against Texas Javier allowed three runs and seven hits through 11 innings, with three walks against 13 whiffs. The Astros split those two games.

Splits With the Sticks

Houston is batting .227 against left-handed pitching this season, with a .307 team OBP and a .398 team slugging percentage.

Texas is slashing .231/.286/.370 against right-handed pitching.

The Bullpens

The Astros bullpen owns a ML-best 2.63 ERA this season, along with a 1.11 WHIP.

The Rangers pen owns a 3.51 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP.

MLB Betting Trends

  • The Astros are 21-13 on the road this season and 14-6 against left-handed starters.
  • The Rangers are 13-16 at home and 14-21 against right-handed starters.

Totals Report

  • The unders are a lopsided 41-19 in Astros games this season.
  • The unders are 29-25 in Rangers games.
  • The overs are 14-13 at Globe Life Field this season.
  • The unders are 8-0 in Astros-Rangers games this season.
  • The unders are a combined 10-6 with Hearn and Javier this season.

Astros at Rangers Odds, Trends, Free Pick 6/13/22

We give Houston the edges in the pitching match-up and in the bullpen comparison. Also, we like the Astros to right the ship following back-to-back series losses. Also, Houston is eight games over .500 against left-handed starters while Texas is seven games under .500 against right-handed starters. So we’re betting the Astros Monday night and we’ll chase the better price with a play against the run line. 

Free Pick: Take Houston -1.5 runs +105
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