houston-astros-mike-fiers-600_1

Houston Astros at Minnesota Twins Odds – Free Pick

By The Green Man
Date: 30/05/2017 8:10 pm
Location: Target Field
TV: FSN

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Twins-125 / Astros +115
Total: 9

It’s the 36-16 Houston Astros versus the 26-21 Minnesota Twins in the 2nd game of a three-game set at Target Field Minneapolis in Minnesota tonight. The first pitch at Target Field is scheduled for 8:10 PM ET.

Many of the MLB betting boards list the hosting Twins as a -125 moneyline favorite. The total line for this game ranges from 9-9.5 depending on where you place your action.

In the first game of this series yesterday the Astros beat the Twins 16-8. In the game the Astros scored 16 runs on 18 hits and the Twins scored eight runs on 11 hits. Houston rallied in the game scoring 11 runs in the 8th inning.

This season the Astros rank 3rd in the Majors in runs scored and 2nd in team ERA.

The Twins rank 19th the Majors in runs scored and 20th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Houston: Mike Fiers (1-2, 5.21 ERA)
Minnesota: Jose Berrios (3-0, 1.66 ERA)

Mike Fiers gets the starting nod for the Astros in this game and he gave up three earned runs on 10 hits in four innings in his last start, which was a 7-6 win over the Detroit Tigers. The Astros had lost his previous two starts and in his last three starts he has given up eight earned runs in 15 innings of work. In five road starts this season Fiers is 1-0, but has given up 11 HR in 24 innings and has an ERA of 6.38. He is tied for the lead in the Majors in HR’s allowed (18) and in seven career appearances, including six starts, against the Twins he is 3-1 with an ERA of 3.16. While Fiers’ road ERA this season has not been good the Astros have won six of his last eight road starts.

Jose Berrios goes for the Twins tonight and he gave up three earned runs in six innings in a 4-3 win over the Baltimore Orioles. The Twins have won all three of his starts this season and previous to his last outing he went 14 innings and only gave up one run in his first two starts. Berrios has solid so far on the season, but in two career starts facing the Astros he is 1-1 with a less than impressive ERA of 8.59. Minnesota has only won one of Berrios’ last seven home starts and they have lost five of his last six home starts against a team with a winning record.

Betting Angles

The Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games against the Twins.

The Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 games against the Twins in Minnesota.

In the last 4 games between these teams the total has gone Over every time.

This season the Twins are 12-16 at home and the Astros are 16-6 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Houston Astros: 29-19 SU / O/U 26-22 / Run Line W/L 30-18
Minnesota Twins: 26-23 SU / O/U 23-24 / Run Line W/L 24-25 Houston at Minnesota Key Betting Trends

  • HOU is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter
  • HOU is 20-8 in their last 28 road games
  • HOU has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games
  • MINN is 21-51 in their last 72 home games vs. a right-handed starter
  • MINN is 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game
  • MINN has an Over record of 13-6-1 in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600

Key Player Injuries

ASTROS
[P] 05/28/2017 – Charlie Morton 10-day DL (05/25) ( Back )
[P] 04/20/2017 – Jandel Gustave 10-day DL (04/19) ( Forearm )
[P] 03/31/2017 – Collin McHugh 10-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )

TWINS
[P] 05/28/2017 – Justin Haley 10-day DL (05/28) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Ryan O’Rourke 60-day DL (03/30) ( Forearm )
[P] 05/21/2017 – Phil Hughes 10-day DL (05/22) ( Bicep )
[P] 03/31/2017 – Glen Perkins 60-day DL (04/02) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/11/2017 – Trevor May 60-day DL (03/22) ( Elbow )

Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Free MLB Pick

The Astros are hot winners of five in a row and seven of their last eight games. They have the most wins in the Majors and in their five-game winning streak they have totaled 38 runs. Houston is tied with the Cleveland Indians for the most road wins in the Majors and while the Twins are over .500 and are in first place in the AL Central they are four games under .500 at home. They have lost two in a row where their pitching has been hammered giving up a total of 24 runs. However, they are still the home betting favorite with Berrios on the hill. The Twins have won his last four starts overall and that is a trend that will continue. Fiers has not pitched well on the road this season, but has received solid run support in his road starts. However, that will not be the case tonight. Berrios will have another solid outing and Minnesota will get the win snapping Houston five-game winning streak.

Free Pick: Take the Twins -125
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