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Dodgers vs. Braves Prediction: May vs. Elder for Sweep

By Darin Zank
Date: 04/05/2025 7:00 pm
Location: Truist Park
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Moneyline: LAD -155/Atl +135
Runline: Dodgers -1.5 +110/Braves +1.5 -125
Total: 9

The Dodgers shoot for a series sweep when they and the Braves provide this week’s edition of Sunday night MLB betting action from Atlanta.

Bryce Elder will try to help the Braves avoid such a fate, while Dustin May gets the call for Los Angeles.

How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Sunday’s baseball betting market opened with Los Angeles at right around -150 over Atlanta, with an O/U of 9. Early betting action bumped the Dodgers to -155.

LA could also be found catching around +110 on the run line, which is always an option when the favorite is playing on the road, knowing they’ll bat nine times.

Dodgers-Braves Betting Preview

Los Angeles took the opener of this series Friday night 2-1, then grabbed Saturday’s game 10-3. The Dodgers got a quality outing from Yoshinobu Yamamoto Friday, then rapped out 12 hits Saturday, including home runs from Ohtani and Freeman.  

LA won as a -175 favorite Friday night, then as a +125 dog Saturday.

So the Dodgers now own a seven-game winning streak. At 23-10 overall Los Angeles leads the NL West by a game and a half over second-place San Diego.

Conversely, Atlanta now owns a three-game losing skid. At 14-18 overall the Braves are already 7.5 games behind the first-place Mets in the NL East.

Last year, the Dodgers took the season series from Atlanta five games to two, and they lead this year’s series five games to none. 

Sunday’s Pitching Match-Up

Elder started a bit rough this season but he’s been better his last couple times out. Two starts ago he held St. Louis to one run through six innings of a 4-1 Atlanta victory. Then Monday he gave up a three-run homer in first inning against Colorado, then tossed five innings of shutout ball from there as the Braves came back to win 6-3.

Atlanta is 3-2 with Elder this season, although 2-3 would more accurately describe his overall performance.

Over his last two starts against the Dodgers, one last year and one about a month ago, Elder allowed 10 runs and five home runs – Ohtani, Muncy, Pages –  through less than eight innings. The Braves lost both those games, and both games played over on the totals.

Meanwhile May started well this season but he’s been a bit rough his last couple times out. Two starts ago he gave up five runs in the first inning against the Cubs, seven through five and took a loss. Then Monday he gave up three runs in 5 1/3 against Miami, although LA won that game 7-6 in 10 innings.

The Dodgers are 3-2 with May this year, which is what they should be. Also, the overs are 3-2 with May.

In his most recent start against Atlanta, one month ago, May allowed one unearned run and one hit in five innings of a 3-1 Los Angeles victory.

Splits With the Sticks

Los Angeles is batting .265 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .348 team OBP and a .467 team slugging percentage. The Dodgers have also scored at least seven runs six times in their last seven games.

Atlanta is slashing .250/.325/.403 against RH pitching. The Braves have also scored a total of five runs over their last three games.

The Bullpens

The Atlanta bullpen owns a 3.94 ERA this season, along with a 1.18 WHIP and a 2.10 K/BB ratio.

The LA pen owns a 3.59 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a 3.31 K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

  • Los Angeles is 17-5 against RH starters this season.
  • The Braves are 12-17 vs. righties.

Totals Report

The Under is 3-2 in Dodgers-Braves games this season.
The totals are split 6-6 at Truist Park this season.

Free MLB Pick

Los Angeles is hot; Atlanta, not so much. We also give LA edges in the pitching match-up, with the sticks, and in the bullpen. So, we like the Dodgers. We also like chasing better prices, so we’ll play LA against the run line, catching the +110.

Free Pick: Take the Dodgers -1.5 +110
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