Will Warren Starting Pitcher NY Yankees

Diamondbacks at Yankees: Free Pick for April 1

By Darin Zank
Date: 01/04/2025 7:05 pm
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: TBS

Betting Odds



Moneyline: NYY -115/Az -105
Total: 8.5

The Yankees seek to remain perfect in this young baseball betting season when they open a three-game series with Arizona on Tuesday night at Yankee Stadium.

Second-year man Will Warren gets the call for the Pinstripes Tuesday against newcomer Corbin Burnes for the D’Backs.

How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Tuesday’s baseball betting market opened Arizona and Burnes at -115 over New York and Warren, with an O/U of 8.5. Early betting action then flipped the Yankees into -115 favorites.

Diamondbacks-Yankees Betting Preview

Arizona just opened its season by splitting four games at home with the Cubs, winning Sunday’s series finale 10-6. The D’Backs trailed Chicago 6-2 into the bottom of the eighth inning Sunday, then put up an 8-spot to steal the W.

Last year Arizona won 89 games but missed the playoffs. Over the off-season the Diamondbacks lost a good man in 1B Christian Walker but added Burnes. This year the D’Backs are playing against a wins O/U of 86.5.

Meanwhile, the Yankees just opened their season by sweeping three games from Milwaukee by scores of 4-2, 20-9, and Sunday 12-3. New York rapped out 34 hits over the three games, including 15 home runs. However, we should point out that the Brewers’ pitching ain’t great, and the wind was blowing out at Yankee Stadium. So it wasn’t all the bats.

Last year, New York won 94 games and the American League pennant. Over the off-season, the Yanks lost OF Juan Soto but added veteran sticks such as Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt. This season, New York is playing against a wins O/U of 88.5.

These teams met once last season when the Yankees took two of three games in Phoenix in early April.

Tuesday’s Pitching Match-Up

Warren is making his first appearance of this season. Last year, as a rookie, he posted a 10.32 ERA and a 1.90 WHIP through 23 innings. New York played 2-3 in Warren’s starts.

This will be Warren’s first career outing against Arizona, which might work to his advantage, at least for the first couple of times through the line-up.

Burnes is also making his first appearance of this season. Last year, pitching for Baltimore, Burnes posted a 2.92 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP through 194 innings. The Orioles played 20-12 with Burnes.

In two starts against the Yankees last season Burnes allowed three runs and six hits through 11 innings, with two walks against 15 strikeouts. Baltimore lost both those games but that wasn’t his fault.

Splits With the Sticks

Arizona batted .253 against right-handed pitching last season, with a .333 team OBP and a .436 team slugging percentage.

New York slashed .253/.332/.445 against RH pitching last year.

The Bullpens

The Yankees bullpen has allowed four ER and 10 hits through 12 1/3 innings this season, with three walks against 18 strikeouts.

The Diamondbacks pen has allowed 10 runs and 16 hits through 15 1/3 innings, with three walks against 19 whiffs.

MLB Betting Trends

Arizona played 45-36 on the road last season and 61-44 against right-handed starters.

New York played 44-37 at home and 73-45 against RH starters last season.

Totals Report

The overs played 91-64 in Diamondbacks games last season.

The overs played 86-69 in Yankees games last year.

The overs played 45-33 at Yankee Stadium last season.

Free MLB Pick

We give Arizona the edge in the pitching match-up while New York owns the edge in the bullpen comparison. The Yankees also own a short edge with the sticks. But we’re guessing Burnes will be on a short leash, going five innings max, which gives New York another short edge. So we’re betting the Yankees will take the opener of this series on Monday night.

Free Pick: Take the Yankees -125
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