Quinn Priester Milwaukee brewers Starting Pitcher

Cubs vs. Brewers Prediction: Darin Zank’s Moneyline Pick (5/2)

By Darin Zank
Date: 02/05/2025 8:10 pm
Location: American Family Field
TV: Apple TV

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Cubs -115/Mil -105
Total: 8.5

NL Central contenders clash when the Cubs and Brewers kick off their season rivalry series Friday night in Milwaukee. 

Rookie righty Quinn Priester gets the start on the mound for Milwaukee here against Ben Brown for the Cubbies.

How are we playing this game with our free baseball betting pick?

MLB Betting Odds

Friday’s baseball betting market opened this game at right around a pick ‘em, with an O/U of 8.5. Early betting action slid Chicago into a -115 favorite.

Cubs-Brewers Betting Preview

Chicago just took two of three games at Pittsburgh, winning Thursday’s series rubber match 8-3. Just before that the Cubs dropped two of three games to Philadelphia but just before that they swept two games from the Dodgers.

So the Cubbies are 5-3 over their last eight games. 

Meanwhile, Milwaukee just took two of three games at the White Sox, missing out on the sweep by losing Thursday’s series finale 8-0. But just before that the Brewers lost two of three at St. Louis and just before that they lost three of four at San Francisco.

So the Brewers are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

At 19-13 overall Chicago leads the NL Central by three games over 16-16 Milwaukee.

This series is the first meeting between these teams this season. Last year the Brewers took the season series from the Cubs eight games to five.

Friday’s Pitching Match-Up

Priester is 0/4 on quality starts this season, in part because he’s been pitching on a short leash. Last Saturday, he gave up five runs and eight hits through five innings of a 6-5 Milwaukee loss to the Cardinals. But over his three starts previous to that, he only allowed three runs and 11 hits through 14 innings, with nine walks against 11 strikeouts.

The Brewers are 1-3 with Priester this year, with the Unders cashing 3-1. 

In his only career outing against the Cubs, two seasons ago while still with Pittsburgh, Priester gave up four runs in six innings of a 14-1 Pirates loss.

Brown is 1/5 on quality starts this year. Last Saturday, he got touched for six runs and nine hits through just 3 2/3 innings of a 10-4 Chicago loss to Philadelphia. But over his two starts previous to that, he held Arizona and the Dodgers to one run and eight hits through 10 innings in a pair of Cubs wins.

Chicago is 3-2 with Brown this year, with the overs going 4-0-1.

In his lone career start against Milwaukee, in May of last season, Brown tossed seven innings of hitless, scoreless ball in a 6-3 Cubs victory.

Splits With the Sticks

Chicago is batting .260 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .335 team OBP and a .446 team slugging percentage.

Milwaukee is slashing .251/.334/.389 against RH pitching. 

The Bullpens

The Brewers bullpen, which was one of the best in Baseball last season, owns a 4.90 ERA this season, along with a 1.38 WHIP and a 2.09 K/BB ratio.

The Cubs pen owns a 4.64 ERA, a 1.44 WHIP, and a 1.60  K/BB ratio.

MLB Betting Trends

Chicago played 69-59 against RH starters last season and it’s 16-10 vs. RH starters this year.

Milwaukee played 69-45 against RH starters last year, and it’s 10-10 vs. righties this year.

Totals Report

The Under is 7-5 at American Family Field this season.
 
The unders played 7-5 in Cubs-Brewers games last season.

Prop Board

Cubs OF Tucker, who’s slugging .576 vs. RHP this season, is catching +105 to hit over 1.5 total bases.

Free MLB Pick

We give Priester an edge in the pitching match-up, but it’s close. From there, we’re calling the sticks and the bullpen comparison a wash. However, Chicago is playing the better ball as of late, and that means a lot to us, too, when handicapping baseball games. Also, the Cubs made a nice upgrade in the line-up with the addition of Tucker, while Milwaukee seems to be missing something. We’re betting on the Cubbies Friday night.

Free Pick: Take the Cubs -115
Bovada

SOLID 50% BONUS - UP TO $250 FREE!

MLB Free Picks

Bet on Starting Pitcher Value With MLB Five-Inning Lines

Bet on Starting Pitcher Value With MLB Five-Inning Lines

Similar to betting the first half of an NFL football game, an MLB five-inning line covers the first half of action in a baseball game. Since baseball betting lines, in general, are heavily weighted on each team's starting pitcher, their impact on the game's outcome...

Betting MLB Dime Lines at Select Online Sportsbooks

Betting MLB Dime Lines at Select Online Sportsbooks

Baseball is back on the betting board at your favorite online sportsbook. One of the most popular ways to bet on the games is by using the posted money line odds. An MLB money line handicaps the straight-up result for a game by increasing the financial risk to bet on...

Betting MLB Win Totals

Betting MLB Win Totals

One of the most popular betting props ahead of any MLB regular seasons is on the odds for each team’s projected win total. Given that the schedule covers 162 games, there can be a rather wide margin of error in any projected total. Going through the list of each MLB...

Betting the OVER/UNDER on MLB Props for Home Runs and Total Wins

Betting the OVER/UNDER on MLB Props for Home Runs and Total Wins

With spring training underway for all 30 MLB teams, there is a renewed interest in betting the posted props for individual player performances in the regular season. Options like which slugger hits the most home runs and which ace has the most wins are fun and...

Betting the OVER/UNDER on MLB Props for Home Runs and Total Wins

Betting Value in 2020 MLB World Series Futures

Spring training is underway as preparations for a new MLB season take place in the Grapefruit League throughout Florida and the Cactus League in the southern part of Arizona. Opening Day is about a month away at the end of March. While all 30 teams are working towards...

BEST SPORTSBOOK BONUSES

Stop wasting money! Start receiving at 30% Rebate at Betanysports

YES! There are still online sportsbooks where your credit card will work! You get a 50% bonus as well! –> Bovada

Deposit $100 to $1000 and get a MASSIVE 50% Sign-on bonus! MyBookie