Cincinnati Reds vs. L.A. Dodgers Odds – Free MLB Prediction

By Rich Crew

In the third game of this series yesterday the Reds beat the Dodgers 5-3 for their third straight win in this set. They’ll be looking for the sweep this afternoon at Dodger Stadium in a series that has been trending to the road team with six consecutive victories by the visitor dating back to last season.

This season the Reds rank 16th in runs scored and 25th in team ERA and the Dodgers rank tied for 14th in runs scored and 12th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match-Up

Cincinnati: Luis Castillo (2-4 6.67 ERA)
L.A.: Rich Hill (1-1 7.11 ERA)

In Castillo’s last start he gave up two earned runs on three hits in five innings in a 7-2 win over the New York Mets. The Reds have won two of his last three starts, and in two outings he has given up two earned runs in each and racked up 14 strikeouts. This will be Castillo’s first career start against the Dodgers.

In Hill’s last start he was not sharp getting tagged with five earned runs on seven hits in only four innings in an 8-5 loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks. After winning his first start of the season, the Dodgers have lost his last three where he has totaled 13 innings and given up 15 earned runs. In 10 career appearances, including eight starts, against the Reds Hill is 4-2 with an ERA of 3.80.

Cincinnati at Los AngelesBetting Angles

The Dodgers are 17-5 in their last 22 games against the Reds.

The Dodgers are 9-3 in their last 12 home games against the Reds.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Cincinnati Reds: 13-27 SU / O/U 17-23 / Run Line W/L 21-19
L.A. Dodgers: 16-23 SU / O/U 19-19 / Run Line W/L 13-26

Get more details: Cincinnati at Los Angeles MLB Match-Up

Reds at Dodgers Key Betting Trends

CINCY is 5-0 in their last five games
CINCY is 5-2 in their previous seven games against a team with a losing record
CINCY has an Under record of 5-0 in their last five games
LA is 1-6 in their last seven games
LA is 0-5 in their previous five home games against a right-hand starter
LA has an Under record of 7-3-1 in their last 11 games

Key Player Injuries

REDS

[P] 03/30/2018 – Michael Lorenzen 10-day DL (03/29) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/26/2018 – Rookie Davis 60-day DL (03/02) ( Hip )
[P] 03/26/2018 – Anthony DeSclafani 60-day DL (03/29) ( Oblique )

DODGERS

[P] 05/07/2018 – Clayton Kershaw 10-day DL (05/03) ( Biceps )
[P] 05/03/2018 – Hyun-Jin Ryu 10-day DL (05/03) ( Groin )
[SS] 05/01/2018 – Corey Seager is out for season ( Elbow )
[P] 05/10/2018 – Tony Cingrani 10-day DL (05/09) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 – Julio Urias 60-day DL (02/23) ( Shoulder )
[3B] 03/30/2018 – Justin Turner 10-day DL (03/26) ( Wrist )
[P] 03/30/2018 – Tom Koehler 60-day DL (03/26) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/30/2018 – Yimi Garcia 10-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
[2B] 04/15/2018 – Logan Forsythe 10-day DL (04/15) ( Shoulder )

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Reds at Dodgers Prediction 5/13/18

I expect Hill to be better today than his last start that he was making after a stint on the DL. However, how much better is the key. Cincinnati has hit left-handed pitching well this season and has been getting it done on the scoreboard scoring four or more runs in six of their last seven. They send out Luis Castillo who has looked better in his previous two, but they were at home, and this is on the road where he’s 1-1 with a 7.20 ERA. The Dodgers haven’t been lighting up the scoreboard, but they did get three yesterday on 12 hits and may break out here.

Free Pick: Take the OVER 7.5 (RC)