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Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals Betting Analysis – Free Pick

By The Green Man
Date: 10/09/2018 8:15 pm
Location: Kauffman Stadium
TV: FSN/WGN

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Royals -120 / White Sox +100
Total: 8.5

MLB Betting Line

The Twins have remained the road favorite staying at -120 since odds were posted and the 8.5 total has not changed as well. In the run line, the White Sox are posted at -180 getting 1.5 runs and the Royals are at +160 giving 1.5 runs.

Set-up

In their last game, the White Sox dropped their 5th in a row in a 1-0 loss to the L.A. Angels. The White Sox were held scoreless on five hits, and the Angels scored one run and also had five hits.

The White Sox are out of the playoff picture in 4th place in the AL Central, and they are tied with the Miami Marlins for the 3rd fewest wins in the Majors. Chicago’s last game was the only close one in their losing streak, as they have been outscored 36-10 in their five-game skid.

In their last game, the Royals lost to the Minnesota Twins 3-1 giving up a walk-off two-run HR in the bottom of the 9th inning. The Royals scored one run on only three hits, and the Twins scored three runs on seven hits.

The Royals are in the last place in the AL Central, and they have the 2nd fewest wins in the Majors. They have followed up a six-game win streak by losing four of their last five games.

This season the White Sox rank 26th in runs scored and 23rd in team ERA and the Royals rank 29th in runs scored and 29th in team ERA.

Head-To-Head

The White Sox have won 10 of 16 games against the Royals this season. They have also won six of their last eight games facing the Royals in Kansas City.

Pitching Match-Up

Minnesota: Lucas Giolito (10-10 5.85 ERA)
Texas: Jakob Junis (8-12 4.32 ERA)

In Giolito’s last start he was tagged up for four earned runs on four hits in only one 1/3 innings in an 8-3 loss to the Detroit Tigers. After winning three in a row with him on the hill the White Sox have lost his last two starts, but in the one previous to his last one he only gave up one earned runs in six 1/3 innings. The White Sox have won all three of Giolito’s starts against the Royals this season where he has totaled 18 innings and gave up five earned runs.

The White Sox have won Giolito’s last five starts against the Royals. Overall, Chicago has won seven of his previous 10 starts and they have won his last five road starts.

In Junis’s last start he had one of the best ones of the season tossing seven scoreless innings and only allowing two hits in a 5-1 win over the Cleveland Indians. After losing four in a row with him on the mound, the Royals have won his last two starts where he has totaled 16 innings and only gave up two earned runs. The Royals have lost two of Junis’ three starts against the White Sox this season with the last one coming on August 17th where he gave up two earned runs in five 1/3 innings in a 9-3 Kansas City loss.

Junis has only one loss in his last seven starts. However, the Royals are just 4-12 in his previous 16 starts and 2-7 in his previous nine home starts.

Betting Angles

The White Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 road games against the Royals.

In the last 5 games between these teams, the Over record is 4-1.

In the last 6 games between these teams in Kansas City, the Under record is 4-1-1.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Chicago White Sox: 56-87 SU / O/U 68-69 / Run Line W/L 75-68
Kansas City Royals: 47-95 SU / O/U 61-72 / Run Line W/L 65-77

Get more details: White Sox at Royals Match-Up Stats

Key Betting Trends

  • CHI is 0-5 in their last 5 games
  • CHI is 2-5 in their previous 7 games against a right-hand starter
  • CHI has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 road games
  • KC is 5-0 in their last 5 road games
  • KC is 26-58 in their previous 84 games
  • KC has an Over record of 4-1-1 in their last 6 home games

Key Player Injuries

TWINS
[P] 09/09/2018 – Michael Kopech 60-day DL (09/09) ( Elbow )
[CF] 08/21/2018 – Leury Garcia 10-day DL (08/21) ( Ribs )
[1B] 08/21/2018 – Jose Abreu 10-day DL (08/22) ( Ribs )
[P] 06/14/2018 – Nate Jones 60-day DL (06/14) ( Arm )
[P] 04/24/2018 – Danny Farquhar 60-day DL (04/21) ( Head )
[P] 04/23/2018 – Miguel Gonzalez 60-day DL (04/23) ( Rotator Cuff )

RANGERS
[CF] 03/26/2018 – Bubba Starling 10-day DL (03/26) ( Oblique )
[P] 03/26/2018 – Jesse Hahn 60-day DL (03/06) ( Elbow )
[P] 03/30/2018 – Nathan Karns 60-day DL (03/26) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/27/2018 – Eric Skoglund 60-day DL (05/26) ( Arm )
[3B] 07/31/2018 – Cheslor Cuthbert 60-day DL (05/16) ( Back )
[LF] 06/17/2018 – Jorge Soler 60-day DL (06/16) ( Foot )
[P] 06/27/2018 – Justin Grimm 10-day DL (06/24) ( Shoulder )
[P] 09/05/2018 – Danny Duffy is out for season ( Shoulder )

Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals Prediction 9/10/18

Something has got to give in this game, as the Royals have won their last five home games and the White Sox have won Giolito’s last five road starts. Giolito has pitched well against the Royals on the season, and KC has won his previous five starts facing them. While Chicago has lost five in a row Giolito will help end that streak with a solid outing in this division matchup even though he was roughed up in his last outing. Junis was great in his previous start, but will not be in this one. The White Sox will take the first game of this series snapping their five-game losing streak.

 

Free Pick: Take the White Sox +100 GM
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