The Carolina Panthers will look to regroup on the road this week when they travel to New England to take on the Patriots fresh off a scare against the Texans in Week 3. The odds maker has listed the Pats as a large -9 point spread favorite with the total being offered up at 49.5 points.
Carolina suffered their first loss of the season last Sunday, getting blasted 34-13 by New Orleans. QB Cam Newton had a particularly bad day, finishing 17-26 for 167 yards; being sacked 4 times and throwing 3 interceptions. The running game was productive, gaining 132 yards on only 22 carries. Rookie RB Christian McCaffrey caught 9 passes for 101 yards. The defense surrendered 149 rushing yards at a 5.5 ypc clip. They also gave up 213 passing yards and 3 TD passes.
New England rallied to defeat Houston 36-33 last week. QB Tom Brady hit WR Brandin Cooks with a 25-yard TD pass with 23 seconds remaining in the contest. Brady finished with 5 TD passes on 25-35 for 378 yards. He was sacked 5 times and lost a fumble. Cooks caught 5 passes for 131 yards and 2 scores while TE Rob Gronkowski added 8 receptions for 89 yards and a TD. The running game never got started as the Pats ran for 59 yards on 20 carries. The defense gave up 292 passing yards and 125 yards on the ground. They did record 2 sacks and picked off 2 passes.
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Spread Record/Total Record
Carolina is 1-2 against the spread this season covering in their road game in San Francisco and dropping back to back spread decisions at home (Week 2 vs. Buffalo. New England is 1-2 versus the number getting the money in Week 2 on the road in New Orleans, but not covering in either of their home starts (Week 1 vs. Kansas City and Week 3 vs. Houston). The Panthers have seen their games go 1-2 versus the O/U line with the only road game going UNDER. The Patriots’ games have all surpassed the allotted total line and at home in two matches they crushed the line going OVER in their season opener against the Chiefs by 21.5 and last week against the Texans once again by 21.5 points.
Betting Trends to Consider
- Carolina has recorded 13 overs and 1 under in their last 14 games as an underdog of more than 6 points vs. an AFC opponent.
- The Panthers are 7-3 ATS in the first of back-to-back road games.
- New England is 8-0 ATS following a SU win vs. a non-divisional opponent coming off a SU loss.
- The Patriots have posted 7 overs in their last 7 games.
Injury Report
Carolina: The Panthers will be without key offensive lineman C Ryan Kalil and starting RCB Daryl Worley. They will also may be without a slew of depth players at LB and DE.
New England: It’s always tough to get solid information on the Patriots. The key player to keep an eye on is MLB Don’t’a Hightower who has missed the last two games, but did practice in limited fashion this week. His return to the front 7 would be a big boost to their defensive unit.
Public Money
Most of the public bets are coming in on the Patriots with just over 61% at time of writing. The total line wagering as is usually the case the public money is on the OVER with 63% of the action landing on that side of the line.
