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Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees Odds – Free MLB Baseball Pick

By The Green Man

On the Sunday MLB board, it’s the 77-59 Boston Red Sox versus the 72-63 New York Yankees in the 4th and final game of a four-game set at Yankee Stadium in New York, New York tonight. The first pitch of the finale at Yankee Stadium is scheduled for 7:30 PM ET.

The visiting Bosox are listed as a -115 to -125 favorite on the moneyline with the total offered at many sportsbooks at 7 runs.

In Game 3 of this series, the Yankees beat the Red Sox 5-1. In the contest, the Yankees scored five runs on 10 hits and the Red Sox were held to one run on six hits.

This season the Red Sox rank 13th in the Majors in runs scored and 4th in team ERA.

The Yankees rank 3rd in the Majors in runs scored and 5th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Boston: Chris Sale (15-6, 2.77 ERA)
New York: Luis Severino (11-6, 3.14 ERA)

Chris Sale goes for the Red Sox in this series finale and he is coming off a stellar last outing where he did not give up any earned runs, only allowed three hits, and struck out 11 in seven innings in a 3-0 win over the Toronto Blue Jays. The Red Sox had lost his previous two starts where he gave up 10 earned runs in 10 innings with one of those losses coming against the Yankees. Sale has faced the Yankees four times this season and in the last loss facing them he gave up four earned runs and while the Red Sox lost two of his other three starts facing them he only gave up two earned runs combined in those contests. Sale leads the AL in wins and ranks 2nd in ERA. Boston is 6-2 in his last eight starts overall and 5-1 in his last six road starts.

Luis Severino gets the call for the Yankees tonight and in his last outing he gave up three earned runs in six innings in a 6-2 loss to the Cleveland Indians. The Yankees had won his previous two starts where he gave up two earned runs in 12 innings. In his start before that Severino had his worst one of the season against the Red Sox getting lit up for eight earned runs in four innings in a 10-5 New York loss. He won his first two starts of the season against Boston only giving up one earned run in 14 innings and the one game facing them where he was roughed up was at home. Overall, the Yankees are 8-2 in Severino’s last 10 starts and they are 9-3 in his last 12 starts against a team with a winning record.

Betting Angles

The Yankees are 9-4 in their last 13 games against the Yankees in New York.

In the last 5 games between these teams the Under record is 5-0.

In the last 4 games between these teams in New York the Under record is 4-0.

This season the Yankees are 39-27 at home and the Red Sox are 37-34 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Boston Red Sox: 77-59 SU / O/U 58-72 / Run Line W/L 71-65
New York Yankees: 72-63 SU / O/U 68-64 / Run Line W/L 71-64

Boston at New York Key Betting Trends

  • BOS is 11-5 in their last 16 road games
  • BOS is 9-3 in their last 12 games following a loss
  • BOS has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 games
  • NYY is 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win
  • NYY is 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter
  • NYY has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games

Key Player Injuries

RED SOX
[P] 06/16/2017 – Roenis Elias 60-day DL (04/01) ( Oblique )
[SS] 05/28/2017 – Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (05/04) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Carson Smith 60-day DL (04/01) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Steven Wright 60-day DL (04/30) ( Knee )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Tyler Thornburg 60-day DL (04/01) ( Shoulder )
[P] 07/10/2017 – Robbie Ross 60-day DL (05/19) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/28/2017 – David Price 10-day DL (07/25) ( Elbow )
[2B] 07/31/2017 – Josh Rutledge 60-day DL (06/24) ( Concussion )

YANKEES
[1B] 08/18/2017 – Garrett Cooper 10-day DL (08/17) ( Tendonitis )
[2B] 09/02/2017 – Starlin Castro “?” Sunday vs. Boston Red Sox ( Teeth )
[P] 07/16/2017 – Michael Pineda 60-day DL (07/11) ( Elbow )
[CF] 08/10/2017 – Clint Frazier 10-day DL (08/09) ( Oblique )
[P] 08/15/2017 – Luis Cessa 60-day DL (08/15) ( Back )

Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Prediction

The Red Sox have lost two of the three games of this series and they need a win tonight to salvage a split. They are still in first place in the AL East with a 4.5 game lead over the Yankees. Boston has only totaled seven runs in the three games in this series. The Yankees had lost three in a row before taking two of the first three games of this series they still have some work to do to catch the Red Sox, but they are in the lead in the AL Wild Card with a one game lead over the Minnesota Twins and 2.5 game lead over the L.A. Angels. Great pitching match up tonight, but both struggled in their last games in this big rivalrly. Still, have to go with Sale in this one, as he is coming off a great last outing while Severino is not and he was lit up in the Big Apple the last time facing Boston. The Red Sox will win this game, salvage the series split, and increase their lead in the AL East.

Free Pick: Take the Red Sox -115
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