los-angeles-angels-parker-bridwel-600_0

Boston Red Sox at L.A. Angels Odds – Free Pick

By The Green Man

On the Sunday MLB board, it’s the 55-44 Boston Red Sox playing the 48-51 L.A. Angels in the 3rd game of a three-game set in Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim, California today. The first pitch of the finale at Angel Stadium is scheduled for 3:37 PM ET.

The visiting Red Sox opened as a -129 moneyline favorite, but have since been bet up to -132 to -134. The O/U line for this game is a consensus 9.5 runs at the sportsbooks we track.

In Game 2 of this series yesterday, the Angels beat the Red Sox 7-3. In the game, the Angels pounded out seven runs on 10 hits and the Red Sox managed just three runs on six hits.

This season the Red Sox rank 10th in the Majors in runs scored and 3rd in team ERA.

The Angels rank 26th in the Majors in runs scored and 12th in team ERA.

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Pitching Match Up

Boston: Rick Porcello (4-12, 4.60 ERA)
Los Angeles: Parker Bridwell (3-1, 3.18 ERA)

Rick Porcello goes for the Red Sox in this game and in his last outing he had a good one only giving up one earned run in six innings, but got no run support in a 3-0 loss to the New York Yankees. The Red Sox have lost his last two starts where he has only given up one earned run in each and in those losses they only totaled one run. In 15 career starts against the Angels Porcello is 6-6 with an ERA of 6.11. While Porcello leads the Majors in losses he has pitched at least six innings in 17 straight starts. Boston has lost for of Porcello’s last five road starts and they have lost his last five starts after a Quality Start in his previous outing.

Parker Bidwell gets the starting nod for the Angels today and he gave up two earned runs in six innings in his last start, which was a 4-3 win over the Tampa Bay Rays. The Angels have won six of his seven starts this season including his last two where he has gone 12 innings and given up two earned runs. At home this season Bidwell has an ERA of 4.09 and on the road has an ERA of only 2.04. He faced the Red Sox on June 25th and went six innings and gave up two earned runs in a 4-2 L.A. win. In his last four starts he has gone at least six innings every time. The Angels have won Bidwell’s last four starts against a team with a winning record.

Betting Angles

The Angels are 27-13 in their last 40 games against the Red Sox.

The Angels are 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Red Sox.

This season the Angels are 26-23 at home and the Red Sox are 26-26 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records

Boston Red Sox: 55-44 SU / O/U 45-50 / Run Line W/L 51-48
L.A. Angels: 48-51 SU / O/U 40-53 / Run Line W/L 45-54

Boston at L.A. Key Betting Trends

  • BOS is 2-5 in their last 7 road games
  • BOS is 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record
  • BOS has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games
  • LAA is 7-19 in their last 26 games following a win
  • LAA is 1-8 in their last 9 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game
  • LAA has an Under record of 15-5-2 in their last 22 games.

Key Player Injuries

RED SOX
[SS] 05/28/2017 – Marco Hernandez 60-day DL (05/04) ( Shoulder )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Carson Smith 60-day DL (04/01) ( Elbow )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Steven Wright 60-day DL (04/30) ( Knee )
[P] 06/16/2017 – Roenis Elias 60-day DL (04/01) ( Oblique )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Tyler Thornburg 60-day DL (04/01) ( Shoulder )
[2B] 06/24/2017 – Josh Rutledge 7-day DL (06/24) ( Concussion )
[P] 07/10/2017 – Robbie Ross Jr. 10-day DL (07/10) ( Elbow )
[P] 07/15/2017 – Joe Kelly 10-day DL (07/12) ( Hamstring )

ANGELS
[P] 07/05/2017 – Huston Street 10-day DL (07/05) ( Groin )
[LF] 07/19/2017 – Cameron Maybin 10-day DL (07/19) ( Knee )
[P] 06/17/2017 – Matt Shoemaker 10-day DL (06/15) ( Forearm )
[P] 06/20/2017 – Bud Norris 10-day DL (06/19) ( Knee )
[P] 04/15/2017 – Andrew Heaney 60-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )
[P] 04/22/2017 – Garrett Richards 60-day DL (04/06) ( Bicep )
[P] 04/29/2017 – Tyler Skaggs 60-day DL (04/29) ( Oblique )
[P] 05/21/2017 – Andrew Bailey 60-day DL (04/10) ( Shoulder )

Boston Red Sox vs. L.A. Angels Prediction

The Red Sox have lost two of their last three games and they are in first place in the AL East 3,5 games up on the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees. The Red Sox have a great team ERA on the season, but in the two losses in their last three games they have given up 15 runs. The Angels have won two of their last three games and they are in 3rd place in the AL West 18 games back of the Houston Astros. L.A. will have to rely on the Wild Card to make the playoffs and they are 3.5 games out of the AL Wild Card. Porcello has had two solid starts in a row, but the lineup has not helped him out much. The reigning Cy Young winner will have another good outing today and the Red Sox will get to Bidwell and gets some runs off him. Boston will win this series finale and win the series in the process.

Free Pick: Take the Red Sox -132
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