After splitting the first two games of this AL East series, the Red Sox and Orioles meet for a rubber match Sunday night as part of the Little League Classic at Bowman Field in Williamsport, Penn. Dean Kremer gets the call for Baltimore here against Nick Pivetta for Boston.
Who do we like with our free baseball betting pick?
MLB Betting Odds
Sunday’s baseball betting lines opened this game at right around a pick ’em, with an over/under of 8.5 runs. Both figures were holding steady in the early betting action.
Red Sox-Orioles MLB Betting Preview
Baltimore won the opener of this series Friday night 15-10, but Boston won Saturday’s game 4-3. The Orioles won Friday as -105 favorites on the dime line, while the Red Sox won Saturday as -125 chalk.
With Saturday’s win, Boston is 6-3 over its last nine games. But at 60-61 overall, the Red Sox are still five games behind Tampa Bay in the battle for the third and final American League wild-card spot.
With Saturday’s loss, Baltimore is 4-6 over its last ten games. At 62-58 overall, the Orioles trail the Rays by 2.5 games in that AL wild-card race.
Baltimore leads the season series with Boston six games to five.
Bowman Field has hosted four MLB games previously; the Pirates beat the Cardinals 6-3 in 2017; the Mets beat the Phillies 8-2 in ’18; the Cubs beat the Pirates 7-1 in 2019; and last year, the Indians beat the Angels 3-0. So the ballpark plays to ML specifications.
Sunday’s Pitching Match-Up
Kremer is 4/13 on quality starts this season and two for his last three. Tuesday, he held Toronto to two runs and seven hits through seven innings of a 4-2 Baltimore victory. And over his last three starts, he’s allowed six runs and 17 hits through 19 innings, with two walks against 14 strikeouts.
The Orioles are 8-5 with Kremer this season, although that’s actually probably one win better than they should be, based on his performances.
In his only career start against Boston, ten days ago at Fenway Park, Kremer allowed four runs and six hits through 5 2/3 innings of a 4-3 Orioles loss.
Pivetta is 9/24 on quality starts this year but 0 for his last seven. Most recently, 11 days ago, he gave up three runs and five hits through six innings of an 8-4 Red Sox loss to Atlanta. And over his last three starts, he’s allowed ten runs and 21 hits, including four home runs, through 16 innings.
Boston is 12-12 with Pivetta this season but only 2-5 his last seven times out.
Over two starts already this season against Baltimore, Pivetta allowed four runs and 11 hits through 10 1/3 innings. The Red Sox split those two games.
Splits With the Sticks
Boston is batting .252 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .309 team OBP and a .398 team slugging percentage.
Baltimore is slashing .242/.307/.399 against right-handed pitching.
The Bullpens
The Orioles bullpen owns a 3.15 ERA this season, along with a 1.19 WHIP.
The Red Sox pen owns a 4.49 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP.
- Get more details: Boston at Baltimore 8/21/22 Betting Stats
MLB Betting Trends
The Red Sox are 31-31 on the road this season and 43-51 against right-handed starters.
The Orioles are 34-23 at home and 37-41 against right-handed starters.
Totals Report
- The Under is 57-54 in Red Sox games this season.
- The Under is 59-55 in Orioles games.
- The Under is 6-4 in Red Sox-Orioles games this season.
