baltimore-orioles-ubaldo-jimenez-600_1

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Odds Analysis – Free Pick For July 9

By The Green Man
Date: 09/07/2017 2:10 pm
Location: Target Field
TV: Local

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Twins-122 / Orioles +112
Total: 10.5ov -105

On the MLB board for Sunday the 41-46 Baltimore Orioles play the 45-42 Minnesota Twins in the 4th game of a four-game set at Target Field Minneapolis in Minnesota today. The first pitch for the finale at Target Field is scheduled for 2:10 PM ET.

The host Twins are listed as the moneyline favorite with bettors having to lay -122 to back them. The O/U line is offered up at 10.5 runs.

In Game 3 of this series yesterday the Orioles beat the Twins 5-1. In that game, the Orioles scored five runs on seven hits while the Twins could only muster one run on nine hits.

This season the Orioles rank 23rd in the Majors in runs scored and 29th in team ERA.

The Twins rank 18th the Majors in runs scored and 26th in team ERA.

Pitching Match Up

Baltimore: Ubaldo Jimenez (3-4, 6.64 ERA)
Minnesota: Kyle Gibson (5-6, 5.82 ERA)

Ubaldo Jimenez gets the starting nod for the Orioles in this series finale and he did not have a good last outing giving up five earned runs in five innings in a 6-2 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. The Orioles have lost two of his last three starts where he gave up 14 earned runs in seven innings in the losses and went eight innings and did not give up any earned runs and only allowed two hits in the one loss. After Baltimore won Jimenez’s first four starts of the season they only have three wins in his last 13 starts. This will be his first start of the season against the Twins and in 12 career appearances, including 12 starts, against them he is 5-3 with an ERA of 3.13.

Kyle Gibson goes for the Twins today and in his last start he gave up two earned runs in six innings in a 5-4 win over the L.A. Angels. The Twins have won two of his last three starts where he was solid in the wins, but tagged up for five earned runs in only three innings in the loss. In Gibson’s first seven starts of the season he had an ERA of 8.62, but in his last eight starts he is 4-2 with an ERA of 3.91. He faced Baltimore on the road on May 22nd and while he gave up six earned runs in five innings the lineup had his back in a 14-7 Baltimore win. In Gibson’s last five starts he has given up seven HR.

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Betting Angles

This season the Twins are 5-1 against the Orioles.

In the five games this season between these teams the Over record is 3-2.

 

This season the Twins are 20-27 at home and the Orioles are 16-30 on the road.

Straight Up / Over/Under / Run Line Records Baltimore Orioles: 41-46 SU / O/U 44-40 / Run Line W/L 38-49
Minnesota Twins: 45-42 SU / O/U 38-44 / Run Line W/L 44-43

Baltimore at Minnesota Key Betting Trends

  • BAL is 1-5 in their last 6 games overall
  • BAL is 1-5 in their last 6 road games
  • BAL has an Under record of 6-3 in their last 9 road games
  • MINN is 5-3 in their last 8 games overall
  • MINN is 6-3 in their last9 home games
  • MINN has an Over record of 6-3 in their last 9 games

Key Player Injuries

ORIOLES
[2B] 07/05/2017 – Ryan Flaherty 60-day DL (05/19) ( Shoulder )
[1B] 06/13/2017 – Chris Davis 10-day DL (06/13) ( Oblique )
[P] 06/16/2017 – Mike Wright 10-day DL (06/15) ( Shoulder )
[SS] 06/19/2017 – J.J. Hardy 10-day DL (06/19) ( Wrist )
[CF] 05/28/2017 – Anthony Santander 60-day DL (03/30) ( Elbow )

TWINS
[P] 05/28/2017 – Justin Haley 10-day DL (05/28) ( Shoulder )
[P] 06/29/2017 – Craig Breslow 10-day DL (06/28) ( Ribs )
[1B] 07/07/2017 – Joe Mauer 10-day DL (07/05) ( Back )
[P] 07/06/2017 – Hector Santiago 10-day DL (07/03) ( Back )
[P] 05/21/2017 – Phil Hughes 10-day DL (05/22) ( Bicep )
[P] 05/28/2017 – Ryan O’Rourke 60-day DL (03/30) ( Forearm )
[P] 03/31/2017 – Glen Perkins 60-day DL (04/02) ( Shoulder )
[P] 03/11/2017 – Trevor May 60-day DL (03/22) ( Elbow )

Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota Twins Prediction July 9th/2017

The Orioles snapped their five-game losing streak with their win over the Twins yesterday. They are tied with the Toronto Blue Jays for last place in the AL East.

Baltimore had given up 15 runs in losing the first two games of this series before holding the Twins to only one run in yesterday’s win. The Twins have won four of their last six games and they are in 2nd place in the AL Central only 2.5 games back of the Cleveland Indians. The big question for Baltimore in this game is which Jimenez will show up? The one that has been shelled in two of his last three starts or the one who pitched a scoreless gem in the one win? He will not pitch a gem in this game and the Twins will tag him up. On the other side of the coin Gibson will have a 2nd straight solid outing and keep the Orioles lineup in check. Minnesota will take this game and the series and head to the All Star break in the heart of the AL Central race. 

Free Pick: Take the Twins -122
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