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Baltimore Orioles vs Houston Astros Odds & Predictions

By Geekbrandmedia

The Houston Astros host the Baltimore Orioles on Sunday August 28th at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 2:10 PM ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-250), with an OU line set at 7.0.

STARTING PITCHING

Baltimore: Austin Voth (4-1, 4.73)
Houston: Justin Verlander (16-3, 1.87)

Orioles Projected Lineup

Rougned Odor 2B
Ramon Urias 3B
Austin Hays RF
Anthony Santander RF
Terrin Vavra 2B
Jorge Mateo SS
Adley Rutschman C
Ryan Mountcastle 1B
Cedric Mullins CF
Austin Voth P

Astros Projected Lineup

Jeremy Peña SS
Chas McCormick CF
Kyle Tucker RF
Trey Mancini LF
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Justin Verlander P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Baltimore Orioles: 67-59-0 SU / OU 57-64-5 / Run Line W/L 83-43-0
Houston Astros: 81-47-0 SU / OU 48-74-6 / Run Line W/L 67-61-0

Recent Form

Baltimore looks to keep things rolling after taking down Houston by the score of 3-1. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited Houston to 1 run on 4 hits. On offense, Baltimore’s lineup put together a total of 6 hits, leading to 3 runs. Baltimore picked up the win, despite getting 155.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Orioles and Houston stayed below the over-under line set at 8.0 runs. So far, Baltimore has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 57-64-5.

The Orioles are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +5. Baltimore comes into the game struggling on offense, averaging 3.4 runs per game over their last 5. This figure is down from their season average of 4.26. So far, Baltimore has won over half of their 42 series played, going 21-17-4.

The Astros will look to get back on track after dropping their last game by a score of 3-1 to the Orioles. For the game, the pitching staff held the Orioles to 3 runs on 6 hits. The Astros offense ended the game with just 1 run on 4 hits. Houston came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-170.0). So far, the team has won 66.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Astros and Orioles’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. Now, Houston had an over-under record of 48-74-6.

In their last 5 games, the Astros have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +3. Houston has played above .500 baseball, despite averaging just 3.2 runs in their last 5 games. This is a drop in production compared to their season average of 4.54. On the season, Houston has won more than half of their series, going 25-13-4.

Pitching Matchup

For the Orioles, starting pitcher Austin Voth has an overall record of 4-1, and a 4.73 ERA. This year, opponents are batting .255 against the right-hander. For the season, he has racked up 65 strikeouts compared to his 22 walks.

In today’s game, Houston turns to starter Justin Verlander. For the year, he has a record of 16-3. In his previous outings, Verlander has lasted an average of 6.48 innings, putting together an ERA of just 1.87. Overall, opponents have a batting average of just 0.188 against the right-hander. This year Verlander is allowing just 0.72 home runs per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Justin Verlander has a strong K% of 26.0%, including a per game average of 6.43. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 1.51 walks per outing.

Baltimore vs Houston History

Today’s matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros will be their 3rd meeting of the season. Baltimore has the lead in the series at 2-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 0-2. The average run total in these games is 11.33 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.0 runs. Last year, the team’s split the season series at 3-3. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 4-2, with the average run total being 11.33 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 6.33 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
  • Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Houston’s last 19 games when playing at home against Baltimore
  • Houston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games at home

Orioles vs Astros Betting Predictions 8/28/22

Leading into Sunday’s matchup between Baltimore and Houston, the Astros are the heavy favorite on the money line. Even though the Astros dropped yesterday’s game to the Orioles, look for Justin Verlander to shut down the Baltimore lineup. I like the Astros to cover the Runline.

Free Pick: Take Houston on the Runline
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