After taking the opener of this cross-country inter-league series Friday night, the resurgent Orioles go looking for more Saturday night. Kyle Bradish goes for the O’s here against former Oriole Alex Cobb for the Giants.
Who do we like for our free Bal/SF pick?
MLB Betting Odds
Saturday’s baseball betting market opened San Francisco and Cobb at around -120 over Baltimore and Bradish, with an over/under of eight runs. Early betting action then bumped the Giants to -130.
Orioles-Giants Betting Preview
Baltimore grabbed the opener of this series Friday night, 3-2. The Orioles spotted San Francisco the first run of the game, answered with two runs in the top of the second inning, then later took the lead for good with a run in the top of the seventh and hung on from there.
Baltimore won Friday as a +140 underdog against Logan Webb, and the game was played under a total of 7.5 runs.
With Friday’s win, the Orioles are only 3-4 over their last seven games. But at 36-21 overall, Baltimore owns the second-best record in the American League.
With Friday’s loss, the Giants are 1-4 over their last five games. At 28-29 overall, San Francisco sits in eighth place in the National League playoff standings.
These teams last met back in 2019.
Saturday’s Pitching Match-Up
Cobb is 5/11 on quality starts this season. Last Sunday, Milwaukee got him for seven runs and seven hits in just four innings of a 7-5 San Francisco loss. But over his four starts previous to that, he held opponents to five runs and 23 hits through 24 2/3 innings.
The Giants are 7-4 with Cobb this season, and that’s about what they should be, based on his performances.
This will be Cobb’s first start against Baltimore since 2017, when he was with Tampa Bay, and that’s a long time ago.
Bradish is 4/9 on quality starts this year and three for his last four. Last Sunday, he held Texas to one run and four hits through 6 2/3 innings of a 3-2 Orioles win. And over his last four starts, he’s allowed just seven runs – six earned – and 18 hits through 24 1/3 innings.
Baltimore is 6-3 with Bradish this season, although that’s probably a game better than it should be.
This will be Bradish’s first career start against San Francisco.
Splits With the Sticks
Baltimore is batting .247 against right-handed pitching this season, with a .317 team OBP and a .413 team slugging percentage.
San Francisco is slashing .248/.327/.432 against right-handed pitching.
The Bullpens
The Giants bullpen owns a 4.25 ERA this season, along with a 1.28 WHIP and a 2.89 K/BB ratio.
The Orioles pen owns a 3.44 ERA, a 1.30 WHIP, and a 2.88 K/BB ratio.
MLB Betting Trends
The Orioles are 18-9 on the road this season and 21-13 against right-handed starters.
The Giants are 16-13 at home but 18-23 against right-handed starters.
Totals Report
- The overs are 29-24 in Orioles games this season.
- The unders are 28-26 in Giants games.
- The unders are 15-13 at Oracle Park this season.
- The unders are a combined 13-6 with Cobb and Bradish this season.
