atlanta-braves-mike-foltynewicz-600_5

Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twins Pick

By Darin Zank
Date: 06/08/2019 8:10 pm
Location: Target Field
TV: FS-North

Betting Odds



Moneyline: Twins -155/Braves +145
Total: 10

After taking the opener of this three-game affair Monday night, the Twins shoot for the series victory Tuesday night. Minnesota will throw an All-Star Tuesday while Atlanta will go with a guy who’s just coming back from doing some time in the Minors. How are we playing this game with our free MLB pick?

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MLB Betting Odds

Tuesday’s MLB betting odds opened Minnesota at around -160 over Atlanta, with an over/under of 10 runs. Early betting action then dipped that line down to about -155.

Braves vs. Twins Set-Up

Minnesota grabbed the opener of this series Monday night 5-3 on Miguel Sano’s pinch-hit, two-run homer in the bottom of the ninth inning. The Twins led Monday 3-1 through six innings, let Atlanta tie it with two runs in the top of the seventh, then won it off the Braves bullpen.

Minnesota won Monday as a -115 favorite on the MLB betting line, and the game played under a total of 10 runs.

With Monday’s victory, the Twins own a four-game winning streak, part of a current 7-1 run. At 70-42 overall Minnesota leads the AL Central by four games over second-place Cleveland, and it’s only 2.5 games behind Houston in the battle for the No. 2 seed in the upcoming American League playoffs.

With Monday’s loss, Atlanta is 1-3 over its last four games. Still, at 66-48 overall the Braves lead the NL East by six games over both Washington and Philadelphia, and they’re four games up on the Cubs in the battle for the two seed in the National League.

This series is the first meeting between these teams since 2016 when they split four games.

Tuesday’s Starting Arms

Berrios, by our stringent standards, is 16/22 on quality starts this season and one out away from a run of three in a row. Last Wednesday he held Miami scoreless on two hits, with 11 strikeouts, through seven innings of a 7-4 Twins win. And over his last three starts, he’s allowed just two earned runs and 13 hits through 19 2/3 innings, with 23 whiffs.

Minnesota is 14-8 with Berrios this season, 2-0 over his last two starts.

This start will be Berrios’ first-ever against Atlanta.

Foltynewicz is making his first start with the Big Club following a six-week stint in the Minors. He’s 3/11 on quality starts for the Braves this year and was one for his final five before his demotion. He then went 5-1 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP through 10 starts and 51 innings down at Triple-A Gwinnett.

Atlanta is 4-7 with Foltynewicz this season.

Foltynewicz started twice against the Twins back in 2016, allowing eight ER through 10 1/3 innings. The Braves split those two games.

Tuesday’s Batting Splits

Atlanta is batting .261/.338/.455 against right-handed pitching this season.

Minnesota is batting .263/.331/.492 against RH-handed pitching this season.

The Bullpens

The Braves bullpen owns a 4.13 ERA this season and a 1.42 WHIP while allowing a .754 OPS.

The Twins pen owns a 4.42 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP while allowing a .747 OPS.

Totals Report

  • Overs are 56-53 in Braves games this season.
  • Overs are 56-50 in Twins games this season.
  • Unders are 28-26 in games played at Target Field this season.
  • Overs are a combined 19-11 with Berrios and Foltynewicz this season.

Braves at Twins Prediction 08/06/2019

Minnesota is headed back in the right direction as of late, while Atlanta is stumbling just a bit. Also, the Twins own advantages in the pitching match-up and with the sticks. So we like Minnesota for our free MLB pick.

Free Pick: Take the Twins -155
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