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Weathers brings a 10.47 K/9 and elite sweeper against Young's 1.45 WHIP — the surface read says pay the chalk, but the deeper numbers reveal a gap the market hasn't fully priced despite the -172...
McDonald's 1.29 ERA and zero walks clash with Sasaki's 5.97 ERA and command issues — but the +150 price treats this like the Giants are facing Cy Young, not a struggling starter. San Francisco...
Seattle's road favorite status at -146 looks steep when you dig into the numbers — Kirby's declining strikeout rate meets an Astros lineup that owns the kind of power metrics that can exploit...
The pitching matchup points clearly toward Texas — but the -138 moneyline still feels like it's pricing this closer than Eovaldi's zone command versus Soroka's declining velocity warrants. Arizona...
Detroit catches plus money at +110 despite sending the superior starter to the mound. The pitching profiles point one way — the moneyline hasn't caught up to the gap between Hanifee's pristine...
Both Leahy and Buehler carry bloated ERAs above 4.90 — but the +152 run line hasn't adjusted for San Diego's bullpen strikeout edge in what projects as a sixth-inning pitching change game. St. Louis...
Brazoban's 17.2 innings of work looks electric on paper — Arizona's proven lineup depth tells a different story. The market is treating this like Rodriguez can't capitalize on that mismatch. New...
Davis Martin's 2.3 WAR towers over Gilbert's replacement-level production — yet the market still has Chicago catching plus money at home. The pitching gap screams one direction while the price...
Gavin Williams' 3.28 ERA and elite sweeper face Andrew Morris' 4.96 ERA and bloated 1.53 WHIP in a series finale where pitching depth matters. The price at -152 hasn't moved to reflect the full gap...
There's a glaring mismatch on the mound that the market hasn't fully absorbed. Houston gets plus money despite fielding the vastly superior starter in a hitter-friendly park. Houston Astros vs...
Soriano's 1.74 ERA across 46 innings stands opposite Miles' 18-inning debut stint — but the moneyline gap hasn't widened to match the talent differential. Los Angeles Angels vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB...
Sandy Alcantara's name still commands respect — his 6.27 K/9 says the opposite. Washington's power edge meets a declining ace at plus money, but the market is pricing reputation over current...