bc-lions-jonathan-jennings-2-600

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at British Columbia Lions West Division Semi Final Pick

By David Schwab
Date: 13/11/2016 4:30 pm
Location: BC Place
TV: TSN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: BC -4
Total: 56

In what should be the best battle of the Division Semifinal Round the Blue Bombers travel West to British Columbia to take on the Lions at BC Place on Saturday afternoon. The CFL betting board lists the host as a -5 point spread favorite with the Over/Under line at 55. Kickoff is set for 4:30 PM ET.

The Blue Bombers closed out their regular season on a 3-1 run both SU and ATS to finish the year at 11-7 with a 10-7-1 record ATS. They were a solid bet on the road at 7-2 ATS and they were also profitable as underdogs with a 7-2-1 record ATS when getting points. The total went OVER in 11 of 18 games overall and it also went OVER in their last six road games.

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Scoring points was not an issue for Winnipeg this season once Matt Nichols took over as the starting quarterback earlier in the summer. He went on to start 13 games this season and he posted 3,666 passing yards and 18 touchdown throws. The Blue Bombers’ offense averaged 27.6 points a game, but they almost matched that average on defense in points allowed (25.2).

BC locked up home field advantage for this game with a 41-18 romp over Saskatchewan in Week 20 as a heavy 15-point home favorite. This ran the Lions’ record to 4-2 (SU and ATS) in their last six games. They were 12-6 SU overall with a profitable 13-5 record ATS. They covered in eight of 11 games when closing as favorites this year.

The main man behind this offense was quarterback Jonathon Jennings. He ended the year with 5,226 passing yards and 27 touchdown throws. He hooked up 105 times with slotback Emmanuel Arceneaux, who was third in the CFL in receiving yards (1,566) and first in receiving touchdowns (13). This offense cranked out an average of 30.3 points a game.

Winnipeg at BC Betting Trends

  • The Blue Bombers are 5-2 against the spread in their last 7 games.
  • Winnipeg is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games against BC.
  • The game total has gone under in 11 of Winnipeg’s road games in BC.
  • The Lions are 11-4 against the spread in their last 15 games.
  • BC is 4-1 straight up in their last 5 home games.

Winnipeg Blue Bombers at BC Lions Prediction

These two teams staged a wild home-and-home series back in October with a total of 72 points scored in Game 1 followed by 67 total points in Game 2. Winnipeg won both of those contests SU and ATS, but I am leaning towards BC getting the SU win this time around. I think it will once again be a three-point game either way so I am going with Winnipeg to cover in a matchup with the four points while the total goes OVER the 56 points.

Free Pick: Take the Over 56
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